Football · USA NWSL Women · 01/11, 23:00

Prediction: Washington Spirit (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)

Team pages: Washington Spirit (W) · Chicago Stars (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Washington Spirit (W)2.34

Chicago Stars (W)1.13

1X2

64% 20% 16%

Washington Spirit (W) Draw Chicago Stars (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Washington Spirit (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWLWWL

Chicago Stars (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLLLL

Head-to-head

Washington Spirit (W) 4–1–1 Chicago Stars (W) (6 last)

Chicago Stars (W)0-3Washington Spirit (W)
Washington Spirit (W)1-1Chicago Stars (W)
Chicago Stars (W)2-3Washington Spirit (W)
Washington Spirit (W)2-0Chicago Stars (W)
Washington Spirit (W)2-3Chicago Stars (W)
Chicago Stars (W)2-4Washington Spirit (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Washington Spirit (W) (rating 1515 vs 1388).
H2H favours Washington Spirit (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Washington Spirit (W)	Chicago Stars (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	0.8 / 3.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.1 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/0/90%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.2	1.4 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 04:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.09▼	Pinn 1.09
X	8.13 → 9.51▲	Pinn 9.51
2	11.99 → 16.11▲	Pinn 16.11

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:04 +22’	1.13	8.13	11.99
06:18 +56’	1.09▼	9.72▲	16.54▲
04:09 +9’	1.09▲	9.51▼	16.11▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Washington Spirit (W) 4–1–1 Chicago Stars (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Washington Spirit (W)
31/08/25 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Chicago Stars (W)
10/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	2-3 HT 1-2	Washington Spirit (W)
20/10/24 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Chicago Stars (W)
01/08/24 NWSL x Liga MXF Summer Cup Women	Washington Spirit (W)	2-3 HT 0-1	Chicago Stars (W)
02/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	2-4 HT 0-2	Washington Spirit (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	29	17	7	5	37	23	58
2	San Diego Wave (W)	29	17	4	8	44	31	55
3	Washington Spirit (W)	29	16	4	9	41	28	52
4	Kansas City Current (W)	29	15	5	9	52	39	50
5	Angel City FC (W)	29	14	7	8	50	31	49
6	Utah Royals (W)	29	14	5	10	44	37	47
7	Portland Thorns (W)	29	13	8	8	48	41	47
8	Reign FC (W)	29	13	5	11	36	33	44
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	29	13	3	13	51	42	42
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	29	11	8	10	53	41	41
11	Orlando Pride (W)	29	11	3	15	39	46	36
12	Houston Dash (W)	29	9	6	14	38	42	33
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	29	9	6	14	40	49	33
14	Bay FC (W)	29	7	6	16	30	46	27
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	29	7	3	19	38	60	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	29	5	2	22	17	69	17

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Washington Spirit (W)	Chicago Stars (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-0 W	1-3 L
Houston Dash (W)	3-2 W	1-3 L
Portland Thorns (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Washington Spirit (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Washington Spirit (W)

DLWWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	1-2	7	2	L
17/10	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
05/10	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-2	11	1	W
27/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
20/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
13/09	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-3	2	5	L
06/09	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
30/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
23/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	11	2	L
17/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	5	1	D

Chicago Stars (W)

LWLLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
19/10	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	1	0	L
04/10	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
26/09	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	0	5	L
20/09	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
14/09	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
06/09	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-6	1	3	L
30/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-6	2	1	L
23/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-2	4	0	W
20/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-5	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Washington Spirit (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Washington Spirit (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Washington Spirit (W) 64%, draw 20%, Chicago Stars (W) 16%.

How many goals are expected in Washington Spirit (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Washington Spirit (W) 2.34 · Chicago Stars (W) 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Washington Spirit (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.