Football · USA NWSL Women · 01/11, 23:00

Prediction: Houston Dash (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)

Team pages: Houston Dash (W) · Portland Thorns (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Houston Dash (W)1.41

Portland Thorns (W)1.43

1X2

36% 27% 37%

Houston Dash (W) Draw Portland Thorns (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Houston Dash (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWDLLW

Portland Thorns (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWDLDW

Head-to-head

Houston Dash (W) 0–2–4 Portland Thorns (W) (6 last)

Portland Thorns (W)1-1Houston Dash (W)
Houston Dash (W)1-1Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)2-0Houston Dash (W)
Houston Dash (W)1-4Portland Thorns (W)
Houston Dash (W)0-2Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)4-1Houston Dash (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portland Thorns (W) (rating 1461 vs 1519).
H2H favours Portland Thorns (W): 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Houston Dash (W)	Portland Thorns (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.6	2.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.92

Under 31.87

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 20:41

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.58 → 2.92▼	Pinn 2.92
X	3.74 → 3.58▼	Pinn 3.58
2	1.83 → 2.12▲	Pinn 2.12

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
23:51 +35’	3.58	3.74	1.83
06:18 +56’	2.91▼	3.66▼	2.10▲
20:31 +10’	2.92▲	3.58▼	2.12▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston Dash (W) 0–2–4 Portland Thorns (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Houston Dash (W)
21/02/26 Women’s Friendly	Houston Dash (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Portland Thorns (W)
02/11/25 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Houston Dash (W)
17/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	1-4 HT 0-3	Portland Thorns (W)
18/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Portland Thorns (W)
21/04/24 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	4-1 HT 2-0	Houston Dash (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	29	17	7	5	37	23	58
2	San Diego Wave (W)	29	17	4	8	44	31	55
3	Washington Spirit (W)	29	16	4	9	41	28	52
4	Kansas City Current (W)	29	15	5	9	52	39	50
5	Angel City FC (W)	29	14	7	8	50	31	49
6	Utah Royals (W)	29	14	5	10	44	37	47
7	Portland Thorns (W)	29	13	8	8	48	41	47
8	Reign FC (W)	29	13	5	11	36	33	44
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	29	13	3	13	51	42	42
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	29	11	8	10	53	41	41
11	Orlando Pride (W)	29	11	3	15	39	46	36
12	Houston Dash (W)	29	9	6	14	38	42	33
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	29	9	6	14	40	49	33
14	Bay FC (W)	29	7	6	16	30	46	27
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	29	7	3	19	38	60	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	29	5	2	22	17	69	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Houston Dash (W)	Portland Thorns (W)
Chicago Stars (W)	3-1 W	1-1 D
Orlando Pride (W)	1-2 L	4-1 W
Washington Spirit (W)	2-3 L	1-2 L
Boston Legacy FC (W)	2-1 W	2-4 L
Bay FC (W)	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Houston Dash (W)

WLLLLWDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
18/10	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
05/10	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-3	7	1	L
27/09	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
20/09	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
13/09	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
07/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
31/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
24/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	12	1	L
20/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	5-0	3	2	W

Portland Thorns (W)

WWDLDWDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
18/10	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
04/10	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	2-4	5	6	L
27/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
19/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
14/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
06/09	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
29/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	0	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Houston Dash (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Portland Thorns (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Houston Dash (W) 36%, draw 27%, Portland Thorns (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Houston Dash (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Houston Dash (W) 1.41 · Portland Thorns (W) 1.43), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Houston Dash (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.