Football · USA NWSL Women · 01/11, 23:00

Prediction: Bay FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)

Team pages: Bay FC (W) · San Diego Wave (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Bay FC (W)1.3

San Diego Wave (W)1.67

1X2

29% 26% 45%

Bay FC (W) Draw San Diego Wave (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bay FC (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWLLDL

San Diego Wave (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWWWD

Head-to-head

Bay FC (W) 2–4 San Diego Wave (W) (6 last)

San Diego Wave (W)0-1Bay FC (W)
Bay FC (W)1-2San Diego Wave (W)
San Diego Wave (W)2-1Bay FC (W)
San Diego Wave (W)3-1Bay FC (W)
Bay FC (W)2-1San Diego Wave (W)
San Diego Wave (W)2-1Bay FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Diego Wave (W) (rating 1451 vs 1562).
H2H favours San Diego Wave (W): 4-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bay FC (W)	San Diego Wave (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.9	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:32

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.66 → 3.54▼	Pinn 3.54
X	3.76 → 3.85▲	Pinn 3.85
2	1.81 → 1.82▲	Pinn 1.82

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:24 +2’	3.66	3.76	1.81
18:29 +3’	3.54▼	3.85▲	1.82▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bay FC (W) 2–0–4 San Diego Wave (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Bay FC (W)
17/08/25 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	San Diego Wave (W)
05/05/25 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Bay FC (W)
21/07/24 NWSL x Liga MXF Summer Cup Women	San Diego Wave (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Bay FC (W)
18/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	San Diego Wave (W)
28/04/24 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Bay FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	29	17	7	5	37	23	58
2	San Diego Wave (W)	29	17	4	8	44	31	55
3	Washington Spirit (W)	29	16	4	9	41	28	52
4	Kansas City Current (W)	29	15	5	9	52	39	50
5	Angel City FC (W)	29	14	7	8	50	31	49
6	Utah Royals (W)	29	14	5	10	44	37	47
7	Portland Thorns (W)	29	13	8	8	48	41	47
8	Reign FC (W)	29	13	5	11	36	33	44
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	29	13	3	13	51	42	42
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	29	11	8	10	53	41	41
11	Orlando Pride (W)	29	11	3	15	39	46	36
12	Houston Dash (W)	29	9	6	14	38	42	33
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	29	9	6	14	40	49	33
14	Bay FC (W)	29	7	6	16	30	46	27
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	29	7	3	19	38	60	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	29	5	2	22	17	69	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bay FC (W)	San Diego Wave (W)
Kansas City Current (W)	1-5 L	2-0 W
Orlando Pride (W)	1-3 L	2-1 W
Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-0 W	2-0 W
Denver Summit FC (W)	2-2 D	1-1 D
Reign FC (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: San Diego Wave (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bay FC (W)

WLLLDWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
18/10	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
04/10	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L
27/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-3	7	2	L
21/09	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
17/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	2	2	D
13/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
05/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
30/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
24/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W

San Diego Wave (W)

DWWLWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-2	3	2	D
18/10	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
03/10	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
26/09	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
19/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
13/09	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	1	1	W
07/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
29/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	3-2	11	4	W
22/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	4-2	2	0	W
15/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bay FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an San Diego Wave (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Bay FC (W) 29%, draw 26%, San Diego Wave (W) 45%.

How many goals are expected in Bay FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Bay FC (W) 1.3 · San Diego Wave (W) 1.67), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bay FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.