Football · USA NWSL Women · 01/11, 23:00

Prediction: Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Kansas City Current (W)

Team pages: Racing Louisville FC (W) · Kansas City Current (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.61

Kansas City Current (W)2.27

1X2

27% 22% 52%

Racing Louisville FC (W) Draw Kansas City Current (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Louisville FC (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLDLL

Kansas City Current (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWDLWWWW

Head-to-head

Racing Louisville FC (W) 0–1–5 Kansas City Current (W) (6 last)

Kansas City Current (W)5-1Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)0-2Kansas City Current (W)
Kansas City Current (W)4-2Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)0-2Kansas City Current (W)
Kansas City Current (W)3-3Racing Louisville FC (W)
Kansas City Current (W)3-0Racing Louisville FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kansas City Current (W) (rating 1411 vs 1565).
H2H favours Kansas City Current (W): 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Louisville FC (W)	Kansas City Current (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.4	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	3.9 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:32

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.76 → 4.67▼	Pinn 4.67
X	4.42 → 4.60▲	Pinn 4.60
2	1.52 → 1.51▼	Pinn 1.51

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:04 +22’	4.76	4.42	1.52
18:28 +5’	4.67▼	4.60▲	1.51▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Louisville FC (W) 0–1–5 Kansas City Current (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/07/26 USA NWSL Women	Kansas City Current (W)	5-1 HT 3-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
02/08/25 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Kansas City Current (W)
15/06/25 USA NWSL Women	Kansas City Current (W)	4-2 HT 3-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
06/10/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Kansas City Current (W)
19/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Kansas City Current (W)	3-3 HT 1-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)
06/08/23 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women	Kansas City Current (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	29	17	7	5	37	23	58
2	San Diego Wave (W)	29	17	4	8	44	31	55
3	Washington Spirit (W)	29	16	4	9	41	28	52
4	Kansas City Current (W)	29	15	5	9	52	39	50
5	Angel City FC (W)	29	14	7	8	50	31	49
6	Utah Royals (W)	29	14	5	10	44	37	47
7	Portland Thorns (W)	29	13	8	8	48	41	47
8	Reign FC (W)	29	13	5	11	36	33	44
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	29	13	3	13	51	42	42
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	29	11	8	10	53	41	41
11	Orlando Pride (W)	29	11	3	15	39	46	36
12	Houston Dash (W)	29	9	6	14	38	42	33
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	29	9	6	14	40	49	33
14	Bay FC (W)	29	7	6	16	30	46	27
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	29	7	3	19	38	60	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	29	5	2	22	17	69	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Louisville FC (W)	Kansas City Current (W)
Denver Summit FC (W)	1-6 L	4-1 W
Utah Royals (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
San Diego Wave (W)	0-2 L	0-2 L
Bay FC (W)	0-2 L	5-1 W
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Reign FC (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kansas City Current (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Louisville FC (W)

WLLLLLLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-6	4	0	L
17/10	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	1	1	L
03/10	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
26/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
21/09	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
12/09	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
29/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-3	6	4	L
23/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-3	7	0	L
20/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	0	1	W

Kansas City Current (W)

LDWWDLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-1	6	2	W
18/10	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
04/10	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	5-1	12	0	W
26/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	4-1	9	1	W
19/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
12/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	13	2	D
05/09	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
30/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	3-1	3-2	4	7	W
23/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
15/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	1-2	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Kansas City Current (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kansas City Current (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Racing Louisville FC (W) 27%, draw 22%, Kansas City Current (W) 52%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Kansas City Current (W)?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.61 · Kansas City Current (W) 2.27), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Kansas City Current (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.