Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 25/07, 15:00

Prediction: Aalesunds FK 2 vs Orkla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.29Total

Aalesunds FK 22.34

Orkla1.94

1X2

47% 21% 32%

Aalesunds FK 2 Draw Orkla

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Aalesunds FK 2 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Orkla 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Aalesunds FK 2 0–1 Orkla (1 last)

Aalesunds FK 21-2Orkla

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aalesunds FK 2	Orkla
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 3	1.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.6	1.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.94

Under 4.251.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.71 → 1.71	Pinn 1.71
X	4.05 → 4.05	Pinn 4.05
2	3.39 → 3.39	Pinn 3.39

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:09	1.71	4.05	3.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aalesunds FK 2 0–0–1 Orkla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Aalesunds FK 2	1-2	Orkla

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Herd	12	7	3	2	31	18	24
2	Volda	12	7	2	3	30	18	23
3	Melhus	12	6	4	2	29	16	22
4	Strindheim	12	6	2	4	30	26	20
5	Byåsen	12	6	1	5	23	25	19
6	Rosenborg 2	12	5	3	4	24	20	18
7	Kvik Trondheim	13	5	2	6	24	27	17
8	Ranheim 2	12	4	4	4	35	31	16
9	Molde 2	12	4	3	5	31	36	15
10	Orkla	12	4	2	6	21	28	14
11	NTNUI	13	3	5	5	19	26	14
12	Spjelkavik	12	3	4	5	19	21	13
13	Nardo	12	3	2	7	23	29	11
14	Aalesunds FK 2	12	3	1	8	20	38	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aalesunds FK 2	Orkla
Ranheim 2	2-5 L	2-1 W
NTNUI	1-0 W	5-1 W
Herd	2-0 W	1-3 L
Molde 2	0-6 L	3-5 L
Spjelkavik	2-2 D	2-0 W
Melhus	2-3 L	0-2 L
Nardo	1-5 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Orkla (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Aalesunds FK 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	1-2	1	2	L
22/06	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-5	2-5	3	2	L
13/06	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
31/05	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	3-2	5	3	W
26/05	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	3	9	W
14/05	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
09/05	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	2-2	–	–	D
03/05	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	2-3	2	3	L
24/04	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-5	7	1	L
19/04	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-5	3	2	L

Orkla

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	3-5	–	–	L
20/06	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
13/06	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	2-5	–	–	L
06/06	Trønder-Lyn Norway Cup	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
30/05	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
22/05	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
14/05	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	5-1	5	4	W
09/05	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
02/05	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-3	5	0	L
25/04	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aalesunds FK 2 vs Orkla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aalesunds FK 2 win (47%). Probabilities: Aalesunds FK 2 47%, draw 21%, Orkla 32%.

How many goals are expected in Aalesunds FK 2 vs Orkla?

The model expects 4.29 goals (Aalesunds FK 2 2.34 · Orkla 1.94), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Aalesunds FK 2 vs Orkla?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.