Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 03/08, 18:00

Prediction: Strindheim vs Aalesunds FK 2

Team pages: Strindheim · Aalesunds FK 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.47Total

Strindheim2.97

Aalesunds FK 21.5

1X2

67% 16% 17%

Strindheim Draw Aalesunds FK 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Strindheim 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLLWWD

Aalesunds FK 2 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Strindheim 1–2–1 Aalesunds FK 2 (4 last)

Aalesunds FK 23-2Strindheim
Strindheim3-3Aalesunds FK 2
Strindheim2-1Aalesunds FK 2
Aalesunds FK 22-2Strindheim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strindheim 1546 · Aalesunds FK 2 1484

	Strindheim	Draw	Aalesunds FK 2
Our model	67%	17%	16%
Market	68%	15%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 4.47 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Strindheim (rating 1546 vs 1484).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Strindheim	Aalesunds FK 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 2	1.7 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	2.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X6.00

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.93

2 (+1.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.88

Under 4.251.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.33▲	Bet365 1.33
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	6.00 → 5.25▼	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:20 +3’	1.28	6.00	6.00
13:20 +3’	1.33▲	6.00	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Strindheim 1–2–1 Aalesunds FK 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Aalesunds FK 2	3-2 HT 2-1	Strindheim
29/08/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Strindheim	3-3 HT 1-1	Aalesunds FK 2
06/09/15 Norway Division 2 Group 4	Strindheim	2-1 HT 2-0	Aalesunds FK 2
26/05/15 Norway Division 2 Group 4	Aalesunds FK 2	2-2 HT 2-0	Strindheim

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	14	9	2	3	38	18	29
2	Melhus	13	7	4	2	31	16	25
3	Herd	14	7	3	4	31	21	24
4	Strindheim	13	6	3	4	31	27	21
5	Byåsen	14	6	2	6	31	34	20
6	Rosenborg 2	13	5	4	4	25	21	19
7	Spjelkavik	14	5	4	5	26	25	19
8	Kvik Trondheim	13	5	2	6	24	27	17
9	Ranheim 2	13	4	4	5	35	38	16
10	Molde 2	13	4	4	5	37	42	16
11	NTNUI	13	3	5	5	19	26	14
12	Orkla	13	4	2	7	23	32	14
13	Aalesunds FK 2	13	4	1	8	24	40	13
14	Nardo	13	3	2	8	25	33	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strindheim	Aalesunds FK 2
Rosenborg 2	1-1 D	0-5 L
Melhus	2-1 W	2-3 L
Molde 2	4-2 W	0-6 L
Spjelkavik	2-4 L	2-2 D
Ranheim 2	3-3 D	2-5 L
Herd	4-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Strindheim (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strindheim

WDWWWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
25/06	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
21/06	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
13/06	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-4	–	–	L
31/05	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
25/05	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	4-1	5	2	W
14/05	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	3-2	8	5	W
09/05	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
02/05	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
25/04	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	4-0	4-2	–	–	W

Aalesunds FK 2

LLDLWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
27/06	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	1-2	1	2	L
22/06	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-5	2-5	3	2	L
13/06	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
31/05	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	3-2	5	3	W
26/05	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	3	9	W
14/05	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
09/05	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	2-2	–	–	D
03/05	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	2-3	2	3	L
24/04	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-5	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strindheim vs Aalesunds FK 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Strindheim win (67%). Probabilities: Strindheim 67%, draw 16%, Aalesunds FK 2 17%.

How many goals are expected in Strindheim vs Aalesunds FK 2?

The model expects 4.47 goals (Strindheim 2.97 · Aalesunds FK 2 1.5), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Strindheim vs Aalesunds FK 2?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.