Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 03/08, 19:00

Prediction: Orkla vs Rosenborg 2

Team pages: Orkla · Rosenborg 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

Orkla1.69

Rosenborg 22.21

1X2

29% 21% 49%

Orkla Draw Rosenborg 2

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Orkla 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLLWLL

Rosenborg 2 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWLLDDWDWD

Head-to-head

Orkla 1–5 Rosenborg 2 (6 last)

Rosenborg 23-0Orkla
Orkla0-1Rosenborg 2
Rosenborg 23-0Orkla
Orkla5-3Rosenborg 2
Rosenborg 25-0Orkla
Orkla2-3Rosenborg 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orkla 1429 · Rosenborg 2 1529

	Orkla	Draw	Rosenborg 2
Our model	29%	22%	49%
Market	30%	21%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosenborg 2 (rating 1429 vs 1529).
H2H favours Rosenborg 2: 5-0-1.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orkla	Rosenborg 2
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.6	2.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/0/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	3.2 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.33

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:13 +11’	3.00	4.33	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orkla 1–0–5 Rosenborg 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Rosenborg 2	3-0 HT 2-0	Orkla
05/08/24 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Orkla	0-1 HT 0-0	Rosenborg 2
08/06/24 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Rosenborg 2	3-0 HT 1-0	Orkla
22/10/23 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Orkla	5-3 HT 2-2	Rosenborg 2
14/05/23 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Rosenborg 2	5-0 HT 3-0	Orkla
16/10/22 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Orkla	2-3 HT 1-1	Rosenborg 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	14	9	2	3	38	18	29
2	Melhus	13	7	4	2	31	16	25
3	Herd	14	7	3	4	31	21	24
4	Strindheim	13	6	3	4	31	27	21
5	Byåsen	14	6	2	6	31	34	20
6	Rosenborg 2	13	5	4	4	25	21	19
7	Spjelkavik	14	5	4	5	26	25	19
8	Kvik Trondheim	13	5	2	6	24	27	17
9	Ranheim 2	13	4	4	5	35	38	16
10	Molde 2	13	4	4	5	37	42	16
11	NTNUI	13	3	5	5	19	26	14
12	Orkla	13	4	2	7	23	32	14
13	Aalesunds FK 2	13	4	1	8	24	40	13
14	Nardo	13	3	2	8	25	33	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orkla	Rosenborg 2
Aalesunds FK 2	2-4 L	5-0 W
Molde 2	3-5 L	4-0 W
Spjelkavik	2-0 W	2-1 W
Volda	2-5 L	2-2 D
Kvik Trondheim	1-1 D	0-3 L
Melhus	0-2 L	1-1 D
NTNUI	5-1 W	3-2 W
Nardo	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rosenborg 2 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Orkla

LLWLDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
27/06	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	3-5	–	–	L
20/06	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
13/06	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	2-5	–	–	L
06/06	Trønder-Lyn Norway Cup	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
30/05	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
22/05	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
14/05	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	5-1	5	4	W
09/05	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
02/05	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-3	5	0	L

Rosenborg 2

WWLLDDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
27/06	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	2-1	11	4	W
19/06	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	4-0	4-0	7	4	W
30/05	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
23/05	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
15/05	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-5	12	6	L
11/05	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-3	10	4	L
02/05	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	3-2	5	3	W
24/04	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	5-0	8	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orkla vs Rosenborg 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosenborg 2 win (49%). Probabilities: Orkla 29%, draw 21%, Rosenborg 2 49%.

How many goals are expected in Orkla vs Rosenborg 2?

The model expects 3.9 goals (Orkla 1.69 · Rosenborg 2 2.21), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Orkla vs Rosenborg 2?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.