Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 03/08, 19:00

Prediction: Kvik Trondheim vs Melhus

Team pages: Kvik Trondheim · Melhus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Kvik Trondheim1.15

Melhus2.1

1X2

20% 21% 59%

Kvik Trondheim Draw Melhus

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kvik Trondheim 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Melhus 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kvik Trondheim 0–3 Melhus (3 last)

Melhus4-0Kvik Trondheim
Melhus3-0Kvik Trondheim
Kvik Trondheim0-2Melhus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kvik Trondheim 1434 · Melhus 1550

	Kvik Trondheim	Draw	Melhus
Our model	19%	23%	58%
Market	21%	20%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melhus (rating 1434 vs 1550).
H2H favours Melhus: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kvik Trondheim	Melhus
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3	2.5 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.50

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:21 +2’	4.33	4.50	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kvik Trondheim 0–0–3 Melhus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Melhus	4-0 HT 2-0	Kvik Trondheim
04/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Melhus	3-0 HT 0-0	Kvik Trondheim
27/06/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Kvik Trondheim	0-2 HT 0-1	Melhus

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	14	9	2	3	38	18	29
2	Melhus	13	7	4	2	31	16	25
3	Herd	14	7	3	4	31	21	24
4	Strindheim	13	6	3	4	31	27	21
5	Byåsen	14	6	2	6	31	34	20
6	Rosenborg 2	13	5	4	4	25	21	19
7	Spjelkavik	14	5	4	5	26	25	19
8	Kvik Trondheim	13	5	2	6	24	27	17
9	Ranheim 2	13	4	4	5	35	38	16
10	Molde 2	13	4	4	5	37	42	16
11	NTNUI	13	3	5	5	19	26	14
12	Orkla	13	4	2	7	23	32	14
13	Aalesunds FK 2	13	4	1	8	24	40	13
14	Nardo	13	3	2	8	25	33	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kvik Trondheim	Melhus
Herd	1-5 L	2-0 W
Orkla	1-1 D	2-0 W
Byåsen	2-0 W	2-3 L
Strindheim	2-3 L	1-2 L
Rosenborg 2	3-0 W	1-1 D
Spjelkavik	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Melhus (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kvik Trondheim

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
20/06	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-5	–	–	L
15/06	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
06/06	Steinkjer Norway Cup	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
03/06	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	3-4	1	7	L
30/05	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
22/05	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
14/05	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-3	2	5	L
11/05	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	3-0	4	4	W
02/05	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	1-2	3	4	L

Melhus

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
25/06	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
19/06	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
14/06	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	2-3	5	8	L
30/05	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
22/05	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
14/05	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/05	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
27/04	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	4-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kvik Trondheim vs Melhus?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Melhus win (59%). Probabilities: Kvik Trondheim 20%, draw 21%, Melhus 59%.

How many goals are expected in Kvik Trondheim vs Melhus?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Kvik Trondheim 1.15 · Melhus 2.1), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kvik Trondheim vs Melhus?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.