Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 04/10, 15:30

Prediction: Spjelkavik vs Ranheim 2

Team pages: Spjelkavik · Ranheim 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.43Total

Spjelkavik1.84

Ranheim 22.58

1X2

27% 19% 54%

Spjelkavik Draw Ranheim 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Spjelkavik 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Ranheim 2 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Spjelkavik 2–1–1 Ranheim 2 (4 last)

Ranheim 25-3Spjelkavik
Ranheim 21-4Spjelkavik
Spjelkavik2-2Ranheim 2
Ranheim 20-7Spjelkavik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spjelkavik 1478 · Ranheim 2 1456

	Spjelkavik	Draw	Ranheim 2
Our model	27%	20%	53%
Market	27%	19%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 4.43 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Spjelkavik: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Spjelkavik	Ranheim 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.4	2.3 / 4.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	1 / 2.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/0/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.8	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.30

X4.75

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 5.45

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 13:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
X	5.25 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75
2	3.90 → 1.67▼	Pinn 1.67 ★

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 14%

Time*	1	X	2
16:54 +55’	1.50	5.25	3.90
05:34 +5’	1.48▼	5.25	4.00▲
06:43 +2’	1.42▼	5.50▲	4.50▲
09:37 +3’	1.75▲	4.50▼	3.00▼
11:19 +4’	1.95▲	4.50	2.63▼
13:50 +5’	3.30▲	4.75▲	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:44 +13’	1.39	4.85	4.91
08:07 +12’	1.36▼	4.96▲	5.29▲
08:49 +51’	1.87▲	4.38▼	2.75▼
10:55 +28’	2.24▲	4.13▼	2.16▼
13:39 +16’	3.30▲	4.19▲	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Spjelkavik 2–1–1 Ranheim 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Ranheim 2	5-3 HT 2-0	Spjelkavik
13/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Ranheim 2	1-4 HT 1-2	Spjelkavik
05/07/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Spjelkavik	2-2 HT 1-1	Ranheim 2
26/09/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Ranheim 2	0-7 HT 0-1	Spjelkavik

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	22	15	4	3	59	24	49
2	Strindheim	22	14	4	4	58	30	46
3	Byåsen	22	12	3	7	52	40	39
4	Melhus	22	11	5	6	52	28	38
5	Molde 2	22	9	5	8	61	69	32
6	Rosenborg 2	22	9	4	9	50	40	31
7	Herd	22	8	5	9	47	44	29
8	Spjelkavik	21	8	4	9	39	43	28
9	Nardo	21	8	2	11	47	46	26
10	NTNUI	22	6	6	10	34	51	24
11	Ranheim 2	21	6	5	10	53	69	23
12	Kvik Trondheim	22	6	4	12	32	54	22
13	Orkla	22	5	5	12	40	62	20
14	Aalesunds FK 2	21	6	2	13	38	62	20

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spjelkavik	Ranheim 2
Rosenborg 2	0-4 L	1-7 L
Nardo	2-4 L	1-4 L
Orkla	5-2 W	3-3 D
Byåsen	3-2 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Spjelkavik (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spjelkavik

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/09	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-4	6	1	L
14/09	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	2-3	10	3	L
05/09	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-4	11	2	L
31/08	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	3-1	6	2	W
15/08	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	5-2	–	–	W
08/08	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
01/08	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
25/07	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
27/06	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-2	1	4	L

Ranheim 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	1-3	2	4	L
21/09	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	1-4	3	3	L
13/09	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	1-4	1	0	L
07/09	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	7-0	3	2	W
31/08	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	3-3	3	6	D
15/08	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-9	8	2	L
10/08	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	1-7	5	2	L
05/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-1	4-1	3	2	W
27/07	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-6	0-7	4	1	L
27/06	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-3	5-3	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spjelkavik vs Ranheim 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ranheim 2 win (54%). Probabilities: Spjelkavik 27%, draw 19%, Ranheim 2 54%.

How many goals are expected in Spjelkavik vs Ranheim 2?

The model expects 4.43 goals (Spjelkavik 1.84 · Ranheim 2 2.58), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Spjelkavik vs Ranheim 2?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.