Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 12/10, 18:00

Prediction: Melhus vs Aalesunds FK 2

Team pages: Melhus · Aalesunds FK 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.2Total

Melhus2.52

Aalesunds FK 21.68

1X2

55% 20% 25%

Melhus Draw Aalesunds FK 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Melhus 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLLLW

Aalesunds FK 2 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWDLL

Head-to-head

Melhus 3–1 Aalesunds FK 2 (4 last)

Aalesunds FK 22-3Melhus
Aalesunds FK 21-3Melhus
Melhus5-0Aalesunds FK 2
Aalesunds FK 23-2Melhus

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melhus (rating 1511 vs 1440).
H2H favours Melhus: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Melhus	Aalesunds FK 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	1.9 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	1.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.87

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.24 → 1.24▼	Pinn 1.24
X	6.81 → 6.86▲	Pinn 6.86
2	5.60 → 5.63▲	Pinn 5.63

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 13.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:11 +51’	1.24	6.81	5.60
08:51 +11’	1.24▼	6.86▲	5.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Melhus 3–0–1 Aalesunds FK 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Aalesunds FK 2	2-3 HT 1-1	Melhus
30/08/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Aalesunds FK 2	1-3 HT 1-0	Melhus
05/07/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Melhus	5-0 HT 3-0	Aalesunds FK 2
23/10/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Aalesunds FK 2	3-2 HT 3-0	Melhus

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	23	15	4	4	59	25	49
2	Strindheim	22	14	4	4	58	30	46
3	Byåsen	23	12	3	8	53	43	39
4	Melhus	22	11	5	6	52	28	38
5	Herd	23	9	5	9	49	45	32
6	Molde 2	22	9	5	8	61	69	32
7	Rosenborg 2	22	9	4	9	50	40	31
8	Nardo	22	9	2	11	50	47	29
9	Spjelkavik	23	8	4	11	42	50	28
10	NTNUI	23	7	6	10	35	51	27
11	Ranheim 2	22	7	5	10	58	71	26
12	Kvik Trondheim	23	7	4	12	33	54	25
13	Orkla	23	5	5	13	40	63	20
14	Aalesunds FK 2	21	6	2	13	38	62	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Melhus	Aalesunds FK 2
Rosenborg 2	4-1 W	1-7 L
Spjelkavik	0-1 L	3-2 W
Molde 2	0-1 L	2-3 L
Herd	4-1 W	3-0 W
Strindheim	0-1 L	0-2 L
Orkla	8-3 W	2-2 D
Kvik Trondheim	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Melhus (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Melhus

WDWWLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	4-1	6	3	W
26/09	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
05/09	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	4-1	4	1	W
30/08	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	3-1	6	5	W
08/08	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	5-3	8-3	3	3	W
03/08	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
25/07	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	5	5	W

Aalesunds FK 2

LWLWLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
25/09	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-7	0	2	L
20/09	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/09	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-1	3-2	5	3	W
07/09	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	2-3	3	3	L
17/08	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	2-3	4	4	L
10/08	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
03/08	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
25/07	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
27/06	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	1-2	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Melhus vs Aalesunds FK 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Melhus win (55%). Probabilities: Melhus 55%, draw 20%, Aalesunds FK 2 25%.

How many goals are expected in Melhus vs Aalesunds FK 2?

The model expects 4.2 goals (Melhus 2.52 · Aalesunds FK 2 1.68), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Melhus vs Aalesunds FK 2?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.