Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 10/10, 15:00
Prediction: Byåsen vs Nardo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.3Total
Byåsen2.5
Nardo1.8
1X2
Byåsen
Draw
Nardo
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Byåsen
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Nardo
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Byåsen
2–2–2
Nardo
(6 last)
- Nardo2-4Byåsen
- Nardo3-0Byåsen
- Byåsen2-1Nardo
- Byåsen2-2Nardo
- Byåsen2-2Nardo
- Nardo2-0Byåsen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Byåsen 1572 · Nardo 1506
| Byåsen | Draw | Nardo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| Market | 53% | 20% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Byåsen (rating 1572 vs 1506).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Byåsen | Nardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.5 | 2.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Byåsen 2–2–2 Nardo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Nardo | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Byåsen |
| 04/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Nardo | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Byåsen |
| 05/07/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Byåsen | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Nardo |
| 18/06/25 Norway Cup | Byåsen | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Nardo |
| 13/04/25 Norway Cup | Byåsen | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Nardo |
| 03/08/24 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Nardo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Byåsen |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volda | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Strindheim | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 58 | 30 | 46 |
| 3 | Byåsen | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 52 | 40 | 39 |
| 4 | Melhus | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 38 |
| 5 | Molde 2 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 61 | 69 | 32 |
| 6 | Rosenborg 2 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 31 |
| 7 | Herd | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 44 | 29 |
| 8 | Spjelkavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 48 | 28 |
| 9 | Nardo | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 26 |
| 10 | Ranheim 2 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 71 | 26 |
| 11 | NTNUI | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 51 | 24 |
| 12 | Kvik Trondheim | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 54 | 22 |
| 13 | Orkla | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 62 | 20 |
| 14 | Aalesunds FK 2 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 62 | 20 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Byåsen | Nardo |
|---|---|---|
| Ranheim 2 | 4-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Strindheim | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Rosenborg 2 | 2-1 W | 5-2 W |
| Volda | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| NTNUI | 3-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Spjelkavik | 2-3 L | 4-2 W |
| Molde 2 | 6-6 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nardo (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Byåsen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
5-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-2 | 6-6 | – | – | D |
Nardo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
2-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/09 | Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
2-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/08 | Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
3-2 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Byåsen vs Nardo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Byåsen win (53%). Probabilities: Byåsen 53%, draw 20%, Nardo 27%.
How many goals are expected in Byåsen vs Nardo?
The model expects 4.3 goals (Byåsen 2.5 · Nardo 1.8), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Byåsen vs Nardo?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.