Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Orkla vs Kvik Trondheim

Team pages: Orkla · Kvik Trondheim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Orkla2.03

Kvik Trondheim1.94

1X2

41% 22% 37%

Orkla Draw Kvik Trondheim

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Orkla 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWDDLL

Kvik Trondheim 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLLLDL

Head-to-head

Orkla 0–1–0 Kvik Trondheim (1 last)

Kvik Trondheim1-1Orkla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orkla 1441 · Kvik Trondheim 1411

	Orkla	Draw	Kvik Trondheim
Our model	41%	22%	37%
Market	41%	22%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orkla	Kvik Trondheim
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 3.4	0.8 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.9	0.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 2.8	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X4.10

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:29 +5’	2.20	4.10	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orkla 0–1–0 Kvik Trondheim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Kvik Trondheim	1-1 HT 0-1	Orkla

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	22	15	4	3	59	24	49
2	Strindheim	22	14	4	4	58	30	46
3	Byåsen	22	12	3	7	52	40	39
4	Melhus	22	11	5	6	52	28	38
5	Molde 2	22	9	5	8	61	69	32
6	Rosenborg 2	22	9	4	9	50	40	31
7	Herd	22	8	5	9	47	44	29
8	Spjelkavik	22	8	4	10	41	48	28
9	Nardo	21	8	2	11	47	46	26
10	Ranheim 2	22	7	5	10	58	71	26
11	NTNUI	22	6	6	10	34	51	24
12	Kvik Trondheim	22	6	4	12	32	54	22
13	Orkla	22	5	5	12	40	62	20
14	Aalesunds FK 2	21	6	2	13	38	62	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orkla	Kvik Trondheim
Volda	1-4 L	0-6 L
Byåsen	0-3 L	1-2 L
Aalesunds FK 2	2-2 D	3-2 W
Herd	2-2 D	0-0 D
NTNUI	3-1 W	0-2 L
Ranheim 2	3-3 D	0-7 L
Melhus	3-8 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orkla

LLLLDWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	1-4	0	2	L
26/09	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	0-3	4	2	L
20/09	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
05/09	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-1	3-3	4	6	D
15/08	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	2-5	–	–	L
08/08	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-5	3-8	3	3	L
03/08	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
25/07	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	2-4	–	–	L

Kvik Trondheim

LDLWLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
26/09	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	11	6	L
12/09	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
07/09	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	0-7	3	2	L
30/08	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
17/08	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	3-2	9	4	W
09/08	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	3-6	–	–	L
03/08	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
27/06	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orkla vs Kvik Trondheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orkla win (41%). Probabilities: Orkla 41%, draw 22%, Kvik Trondheim 37%.

How many goals are expected in Orkla vs Kvik Trondheim?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Orkla 2.03 · Kvik Trondheim 1.94), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Orkla vs Kvik Trondheim?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.