Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 12/10, 18:00

Prediction: Strindheim vs Rosenborg 2

Team pages: Strindheim · Rosenborg 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.02Total

Strindheim2.62

Rosenborg 21.4

1X2

63% 18% 18%

Strindheim Draw Rosenborg 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Strindheim 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

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Rosenborg 2 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Strindheim 4–2–0 Rosenborg 2 (6 last)

Rosenborg 21-1Strindheim
Strindheim8-2Rosenborg 2
Strindheim3-0Rosenborg 2
Rosenborg 21-7Strindheim
Rosenborg 22-3Strindheim
Strindheim2-2Rosenborg 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strindheim 1588 · Rosenborg 2 1491

	Strindheim	Draw	Rosenborg 2
Our model	63%	19%	18%
Market	64%	18%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Strindheim (rating 1588 vs 1491).
H2H favours Strindheim: 4-2-0.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Strindheim	Rosenborg 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.4	2.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.8	3.3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.2	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X5.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 09:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.40▼	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00
2	3.60 → 4.75▲	Pinn 7.27 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 16%

Time*	1	X	2
14:56 +2’	1.61	4.50	3.60
06:55 +6’	1.57▼	4.50	3.80▲
08:51 +11’	1.40▼	5.00▲	4.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:14 +47’	1.35	4.39	5.42
07:48 +15’	1.30▼	4.49▲	6.01▲
08:30 +32’	1.23▼	4.84▲	7.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Strindheim 4–2–0 Rosenborg 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Rosenborg 2	1-1 HT 0-0	Strindheim
18/03/24 Europe Friendlies	Strindheim	8-2 HT 1-0	Rosenborg 2
28/08/23 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Strindheim	3-0 HT 1-0	Rosenborg 2
01/05/23 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Rosenborg 2	1-7 HT 1-3	Strindheim
22/02/23 Europe Friendlies	Rosenborg 2	2-3 HT 1-2	Strindheim
08/08/22 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Strindheim	2-2 HT 1-1	Rosenborg 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	23	15	4	4	59	25	49
2	Strindheim	22	14	4	4	58	30	46
3	Byåsen	23	12	3	8	53	43	39
4	Melhus	22	11	5	6	52	28	38
5	Herd	23	9	5	9	49	45	32
6	Molde 2	22	9	5	8	61	69	32
7	Rosenborg 2	22	9	4	9	50	40	31
8	Nardo	22	9	2	11	50	47	29
9	Spjelkavik	23	8	4	11	42	50	28
10	NTNUI	23	7	6	10	35	51	27
11	Ranheim 2	22	7	5	10	58	71	26
12	Kvik Trondheim	23	7	4	12	33	54	25
13	Orkla	23	5	5	13	40	63	20
14	Aalesunds FK 2	21	6	2	13	38	62	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strindheim	Rosenborg 2
Nardo	1-0 W	2-5 L
Molde 2	10-0 W	0-3 L
Volda	2-2 D	1-2 L
Byåsen	2-1 W	1-2 L
Melhus	1-0 W	1-4 L
Spjelkavik	4-0 W	4-0 W
Aalesunds FK 2	2-0 W	7-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Strindheim (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strindheim

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
26/09	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	5-0	10-0	–	–	W
19/09	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
05/09	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
30/08	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	4-0	3	1	W
08/08	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/08	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	11	0	W
26/07	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	3	1	D

Rosenborg 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-4	4	3	L
25/09	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	7-1	7	2	W
21/09	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
13/09	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-5	9	1	L
06/09	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
31/08	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-2	7	4	L
17/08	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
10/08	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	7-1	5	2	W
03/08	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-1	10	4	W
26/07	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	5	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strindheim vs Rosenborg 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Strindheim win (63%). Probabilities: Strindheim 63%, draw 18%, Rosenborg 2 18%.

How many goals are expected in Strindheim vs Rosenborg 2?

The model expects 4.02 goals (Strindheim 2.62 · Rosenborg 2 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Strindheim vs Rosenborg 2?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.