Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: Rosenborg 2 vs Melhus

Team pages: Rosenborg 2 · Melhus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

Rosenborg 21.9

Melhus1.79

1X2

41% 22% 37%

Rosenborg 2 Draw Melhus

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Rosenborg 2 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLLLWW

Melhus 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Rosenborg 2 1–2–3 Melhus (6 last)

Melhus1-1Rosenborg 2
Rosenborg 22-3Melhus
Melhus4-1Rosenborg 2
Rosenborg 21-2Melhus
Melhus2-2Rosenborg 2
Rosenborg 22-0Melhus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rosenborg 2 1522 · Melhus 1474

	Rosenborg 2	Draw	Melhus
Our model	41%	23%	36%
Market	42%	21%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosenborg 2 (rating 1522 vs 1474).
H2H favours Melhus: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rosenborg 2	Melhus
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.7	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 7	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X4.20

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.35 → 2.40▲	Pinn 2.60 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 15.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:46 +2’	2.20	4.20	2.35
11:11 +3’	1.91▼	4.33▲	2.75▲
12:48 +8’	2.15▲	4.20▼	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:12 +3’	2.04	4.15	2.53
07:53 +19’	2.02▼	4.18▲	2.56▲
10:59 +15’	1.81▼	4.38▲	2.91▲
12:51 +5’	1.96▲	3.89▼	2.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 4

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosenborg 2 1–2–3 Melhus

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Melhus	1-1 HT 1-0	Rosenborg 2
15/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Rosenborg 2	2-3 HT 0-1	Melhus
02/07/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Melhus	4-1 HT 1-1	Rosenborg 2
16/09/24 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Rosenborg 2	1-2 HT 0-0	Melhus
27/05/24 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Melhus	2-2 HT 1-0	Rosenborg 2
05/09/22 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Rosenborg 2	2-0 HT 0-0	Melhus

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	21	14	4	3	55	23	46
2	Strindheim	21	13	4	4	57	30	43
3	Byåsen	21	11	3	7	50	39	36
4	Melhus	21	10	5	6	48	27	35
5	Rosenborg 2	21	9	4	8	49	36	31
6	Herd	21	8	5	8	45	38	29
7	Molde 2	21	8	5	8	55	67	29
8	Spjelkavik	21	8	4	9	39	43	28
9	Nardo	20	8	2	10	47	45	26
10	Ranheim 2	21	6	5	10	53	69	23
11	Kvik Trondheim	21	6	4	11	31	52	22
12	NTNUI	21	5	6	10	31	50	21
13	Orkla	21	5	5	11	39	58	20
14	Aalesunds FK 2	20	6	2	12	37	59	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rosenborg 2	Melhus
Spjelkavik	4-0 W	0-1 L
Nardo	2-5 L	3-1 W
Volda	1-2 L	1-2 L
Molde 2	0-3 L	0-1 L
Orkla	2-1 W	8-3 W
Strindheim	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Melhus (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rosenborg 2

WDWWLLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	7-1	7	2	W
21/09	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
13/09	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-5	9	1	L
06/09	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
31/08	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-2	7	4	L
17/08	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
10/08	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	7-1	5	2	W
03/08	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-1	10	4	W
26/07	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
27/06	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	2-1	11	4	W

Melhus

LWDWWLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
05/09	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	4-1	4	1	W
30/08	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	3-1	6	5	W
08/08	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	5-3	8-3	3	3	W
03/08	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
25/07	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
25/06	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	11	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rosenborg 2 vs Melhus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosenborg 2 win (41%). Probabilities: Rosenborg 2 41%, draw 22%, Melhus 37%.

How many goals are expected in Rosenborg 2 vs Melhus?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Rosenborg 2 1.9 · Melhus 1.79), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Rosenborg 2 vs Melhus?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.