Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 18/10, 15:00
Prediction: Aalesunds FK 2 vs Byåsen
Team pages: Aalesunds FK 2 · Byåsen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.92Total
Aalesunds FK 22.22
Byåsen1.7
1X2
Aalesunds FK 2
Draw
Byåsen
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Aalesunds FK 2
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Byåsen
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aalesunds FK 2
2–4
Byåsen
(6 last)
- Byåsen2-1Aalesunds FK 2
- Aalesunds FK 22-0Byåsen
- Byåsen3-0Aalesunds FK 2
- Byåsen0-2Aalesunds FK 2
- Aalesunds FK 20-3Byåsen
- Byåsen2-1Aalesunds FK 2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aalesunds FK 2 1472 · Byåsen 1548
| Aalesunds FK 2 | Draw | Byåsen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| Market | 50% | 20% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.92 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Byåsen (rating 1472 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Byåsen: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aalesunds FK 2 | Byåsen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.4 | 2.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aalesunds FK 2 2–0–4 Byåsen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Byåsen | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Aalesunds FK 2 |
| 12/07/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Aalesunds FK 2 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Byåsen |
| 06/04/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Byåsen | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Aalesunds FK 2 |
| 12/09/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Byåsen | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Aalesunds FK 2 |
| 03/08/15 Norway Division 2 Group 4 | Aalesunds FK 2 | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Byåsen |
| 20/04/15 Norway Division 2 Group 4 | Byåsen | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Aalesunds FK 2 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strindheim | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 52 |
| 2 | Volda | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 63 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | Byåsen | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 53 | 43 | 39 |
| 4 | Melhus | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 29 | 38 |
| 5 | Molde 2 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 64 | 75 | 35 |
| 6 | Nardo | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 61 | 47 | 32 |
| 7 | Herd | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 56 | 32 |
| 8 | Rosenborg 2 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 51 | 45 | 31 |
| 9 | Spjelkavik | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 52 | 29 |
| 10 | NTNUI | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 51 | 27 |
| 11 | Ranheim 2 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 60 | 74 | 26 |
| 12 | Kvik Trondheim | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 35 | 56 | 26 |
| 13 | Aalesunds FK 2 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 62 | 23 |
| 14 | Orkla | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 40 | 70 | 20 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aalesunds FK 2 | Byåsen |
|---|---|---|
| NTNUI | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Rosenborg 2 | 1-7 L | 2-1 W |
| Orkla | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Spjelkavik | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Kvik Trondheim | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Herd | 3-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Strindheim | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Byåsen (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aalesunds FK 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/09 | Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-7 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/09 | Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/08 | Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
3-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
Byåsen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
5-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aalesunds FK 2 vs Byåsen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aalesunds FK 2 win (50%). Probabilities: Aalesunds FK 2 50%, draw 21%, Byåsen 30%.
How many goals are expected in Aalesunds FK 2 vs Byåsen?
The model expects 3.92 goals (Aalesunds FK 2 2.22 · Byåsen 1.7), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Aalesunds FK 2 vs Byåsen?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.