Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 19/10, 19:00

Prediction: Rosenborg 2 vs NTNUI

Team pages: Rosenborg 2 · NTNUI

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.41Total

Rosenborg 22.82

NTNUI1.59

1X2

63% 17% 20%

Rosenborg 2 Draw NTNUI

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Rosenborg 2 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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NTNUI 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Rosenborg 2 1–0 NTNUI (1 last)

NTNUI2-3Rosenborg 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rosenborg 2 1490 · NTNUI 1480

	Rosenborg 2	Draw	NTNUI
Our model	63%	18%	19%
Market	63%	17%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 4.41 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rosenborg 2	NTNUI
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 2.4	1.6 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	1.1 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.8	1.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.42

X5.25

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 41.80

Under 42.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 9 moves · last 18:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 1.42▼	Pinn 1.55 ★
X	4.20 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25
2	2.50 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (9)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 14.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +8’	2.10	4.20	2.50
17:40 +12’	1.90▼	4.33▲	2.80▲
07:54 +7’	1.80▼	4.33	3.00▲
08:57 +5’	1.70▼	4.50▲	3.25▲
09:56 +5’	1.65▼	4.75▲	3.40▲
11:54 +8’	1.53▼	5.00▲	3.90▲
13:49 +15’	1.53	5.00	3.80▼
16:54 +9’	1.60▲	4.75▼	3.60▼
18:00 +3’	1.42▼	5.25▲	4.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:30 +32’	1.72	3.98	3.11
08:41 +21’	1.59▼	4.15▲	3.50▲
09:57 +4’	1.72▲	4.01▼	3.11▼
11:01	1.53▼	4.24▲	3.75▲
15:55 +7’	1.72▲	4.09▼	3.27▼
17:01 +1’	1.73▲	4.17▲	3.32▲
17:57 +5’	1.55▼	4.26▲	3.82▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosenborg 2 1–0–0 NTNUI

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	NTNUI	2-3 HT 2-1	Rosenborg 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Strindheim	24	16	4	4	70	31	52
2	Volda	24	16	4	4	63	25	52
3	Byåsen	24	12	4	8	56	46	40
4	Melhus	23	11	5	7	52	29	38
5	Molde 2	24	10	5	9	64	75	35
6	Nardo	23	10	2	11	61	47	32
7	Herd	24	9	5	10	49	56	32
8	Rosenborg 2	23	9	4	10	51	45	31
9	Spjelkavik	24	8	5	11	44	52	29
10	NTNUI	23	7	6	10	35	51	27
11	Ranheim 2	23	7	5	11	60	74	26
12	Kvik Trondheim	24	7	5	12	35	56	26
13	Aalesunds FK 2	23	7	3	13	42	65	24
14	Orkla	24	5	5	14	40	70	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rosenborg 2	NTNUI
Strindheim	1-5 L	0-4 L
Aalesunds FK 2	7-1 W	3-1 W
Nardo	2-5 L	2-5 L
Volda	1-2 L	1-0 W
Byåsen	1-2 L	0-3 L
Molde 2	0-3 L	4-4 D
Ranheim 2	7-1 W	1-4 L
Orkla	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Rosenborg 2 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rosenborg 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-5	1	3	L
02/10	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-4	4	3	L
25/09	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	7-1	7	2	W
21/09	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
13/09	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-5	9	1	L
06/09	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
31/08	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-2	7	4	L
17/08	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
10/08	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	7-1	5	2	W
03/08	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-1	10	4	W

NTNUI

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
03/10	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	3-1	13	3	W
26/09	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
19/09	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	5	6	W
12/09	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-2	4-4	–	–	D
05/09	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
30/08	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
15/08	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	0-4	5	1	L
08/08	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-3	2	4	L
05/08	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	1-4	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rosenborg 2 vs NTNUI?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosenborg 2 win (63%). Probabilities: Rosenborg 2 63%, draw 17%, NTNUI 20%.

How many goals are expected in Rosenborg 2 vs NTNUI?

The model expects 4.41 goals (Rosenborg 2 2.82 · NTNUI 1.59), with a 54% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Rosenborg 2 vs NTNUI?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.