Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 25/07, 15:00
Prediction: Mandalskameratene vs Staal Jørpeland
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.27Total
Mandalskameratene2.5
Staal Jørpeland1.78
1X2
Mandalskameratene
Draw
Staal Jørpeland
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mandalskameratene
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Staal Jørpeland
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mandalskameratene
2–3
Staal Jørpeland
(5 last)
- Mandalskameratene5-1Staal Jørpeland
- Staal Jørpeland4-3Mandalskameratene
- Staal Jørpeland3-2Mandalskameratene
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mandalskameratene 1527 · Staal Jørpeland 1476
| Mandalskameratene | Draw | Staal Jørpeland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| Market | 53% | 20% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.27 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mandalskameratene (rating 1527 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Staal Jørpeland: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mandalskameratene | Staal Jørpeland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 2.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mandalskameratene 2–0–3 Staal Jørpeland
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Mandalskameratene | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Staal Jørpeland |
| 27/04/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Staal Jørpeland | 4-3 HT 1-0 | Mandalskameratene |
| 16/10/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Staal Jørpeland | 3-2 | Mandalskameratene |
| 07/09/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Staal Jørpeland | 2-0 | Mandalskameratene |
| 15/06/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Mandalskameratene | 1-0 | Staal Jørpeland |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flekkerøy | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | Madla | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 17 | 22 |
| 3 | Viking 2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Vindbjart | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | Mandalskameratene | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 19 |
| 6 | Varhaug | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | Brodd | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 16 |
| 8 | Staal Jørpeland | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 9 | Vag FK | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 15 |
| 10 | Stabaek 2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 35 | 15 |
| 11 | Haugesund 2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 31 | 14 |
| 12 | Odd II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 12 |
| 13 | Åkra | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 11 |
| 14 | Hinna | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mandalskameratene | Staal Jørpeland |
|---|---|---|
| Madla | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Vag FK | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Brodd | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Stabaek 2 | 4-8 L | 1-2 L |
| Viking 2 | 0-0 D | 2-5 L |
| Vindbjart | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Varhaug | 3-3 D | 1-4 L |
| Åkra | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Mandalskameratene (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mandalskameratene
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-4 | 4-8 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 01/05 | Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Staal Jørpeland
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mandalskameratene vs Staal Jørpeland?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mandalskameratene win (53%). Probabilities: Mandalskameratene 53%, draw 20%, Staal Jørpeland 27%.
How many goals are expected in Mandalskameratene vs Staal Jørpeland?
The model expects 4.27 goals (Mandalskameratene 2.5 · Staal Jørpeland 1.78), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mandalskameratene vs Staal Jørpeland?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.