Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 03/08, 18:00

Prediction: Vindbjart vs Odd II

Team pages: Vindbjart · Odd II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

Vindbjart2.8

Odd II1.28

1X2

69% 17% 15%

Vindbjart Draw Odd II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vindbjart 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLLDWWLW

Odd II 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLLLWDD

Head-to-head

Vindbjart 4–2 Odd II (6 last)

Odd II2-3Vindbjart
Vindbjart3-0Odd II
Odd II2-3Vindbjart
Vindbjart2-3Odd II
Odd II0-1Vindbjart
Odd II3-0Vindbjart

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vindbjart 1536 · Odd II 1480

	Vindbjart	Draw	Odd II
Our model	68%	17%	14%
Market	69%	16%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vindbjart (rating 1536 vs 1480).
H2H favours Vindbjart: 4-0-2.
High corners: 15 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vindbjart	Odd II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.4	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 7.9	3.9 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.50

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.90

Under 4.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:22 +1’	1.30	5.50	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vindbjart 4–0–2 Odd II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Odd II	2-3 HT 1-2	Vindbjart
14/07/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Vindbjart	3-0 HT 2-0	Odd II
22/06/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Odd II	2-3 HT 2-2	Vindbjart
04/09/23 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Vindbjart	2-3 HT 2-0	Odd II
06/05/23 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Odd II	0-1 HT 0-0	Vindbjart
16/09/17 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Odd II	3-0 HT 0-0	Vindbjart

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Flekkerøy	14	9	2	3	33	23	29
2	Madla	14	8	4	2	35	20	28
3	Vindbjart	13	7	2	4	29	15	23
4	Mandalskameratene	13	6	4	3	36	24	22
5	Viking 2	13	6	3	4	33	17	21
6	Varhaug	14	5	5	4	26	22	20
7	Brodd	13	6	1	6	29	27	19
8	Stabaek 2	13	5	1	7	31	36	16
9	Vag FK	14	5	1	8	20	25	16
10	Staal Jørpeland	14	4	4	6	28	36	16
11	Haugesund 2	14	4	3	7	28	35	15
12	Åkra	14	4	2	8	20	37	14
13	Odd II	13	3	4	6	21	33	13
14	Hinna	14	3	4	7	25	44	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vindbjart	Odd II
Hinna	7-0 W	1-1 D
Åkra	2-0 W	1-2 L
Haugesund 2	4-0 W	2-1 W
Madla	2-2 D	2-2 D
Flekkerøy	0-2 L	3-1 W
Staal Jørpeland	3-3 D	2-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vindbjart (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vindbjart

WWDLLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	7-0	6	2	W
28/06	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-2	2-3	10	1	L
21/06	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-0	11	1	W
30/05	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	6	4	D
23/05	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
16/05	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-2	11	4	L
09/05	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	3-3	3	1	D
02/05	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
26/04	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-0	12	5	W

Odd II

DLWDLLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-1	11	6	D
28/06	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-2	5	0	D
22/06	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
15/06	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-3	2-5	10	4	L
31/05	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
26/05	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
14/05	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
07/05	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
02/05	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
26/04	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	11	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vindbjart vs Odd II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vindbjart win (69%). Probabilities: Vindbjart 69%, draw 17%, Odd II 15%.

How many goals are expected in Vindbjart vs Odd II?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Vindbjart 2.8 · Odd II 1.28), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vindbjart vs Odd II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.