Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 02/08, 14:00

Prediction: Viking 2 vs Mandalskameratene

Team pages: Viking 2 · Mandalskameratene

See it on the live radar ↗

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.29Total

Viking 22.57

Mandalskameratene1.72

1X2

56% 19% 25%

Viking 2 Draw Mandalskameratene

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Viking 2 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDDWWWLD

Mandalskameratene 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLWWDW

Head-to-head

Viking 2 0–1–3 Mandalskameratene (4 last)

Mandalskameratene0-0Viking 2
Mandalskameratene2-1Viking 2
Mandalskameratene3-2Viking 2
Viking 22-3Mandalskameratene

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viking 2 1527 · Mandalskameratene 1541

	Viking 2	Draw	Mandalskameratene
Our model	56%	20%	25%
Market	56%	19%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 4.29 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mandalskameratene: 3-1-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viking 2	Mandalskameratene
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	2.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7.6	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.75

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.85

Under 4.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.60▼	Bet365 1.60
X	4.33 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75
2	3.25 → 3.60▲	Pinn 4.18 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:03 +40’	1.73	4.33	3.25
22:05 +8’	1.73	4.50▲	3.20▼
10:54 +8’	1.60▼	4.75▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:05	1.68	4.17	3.44
08:03	1.59▼	4.36▲	3.72▲
10:04	1.50▼	4.47▲	4.18▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Viking 2 0–1–3 Mandalskameratene

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Mandalskameratene	0-0 HT 0-0	Viking 2
09/10/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Mandalskameratene	2-1	Viking 2
14/09/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Mandalskameratene	3-2	Viking 2
29/06/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Viking 2	2-3	Mandalskameratene

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Flekkerøy	14	9	2	3	33	23	29
2	Madla	14	8	4	2	35	20	28
3	Vindbjart	13	7	2	4	29	15	23
4	Mandalskameratene	13	6	4	3	36	24	22
5	Viking 2	13	6	3	4	33	17	21
6	Varhaug	14	5	5	4	26	22	20
7	Brodd	13	6	1	6	29	27	19
8	Stabaek 2	13	5	1	7	31	36	16
9	Vag FK	14	5	1	8	20	25	16
10	Staal Jørpeland	14	4	4	6	28	36	16
11	Haugesund 2	14	4	3	7	28	35	15
12	Åkra	14	4	2	8	20	37	14
13	Odd II	13	3	4	6	21	33	13
14	Hinna	14	3	4	7	25	44	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viking 2	Mandalskameratene
Stabaek 2	1-1 D	4-8 L
Vag FK	2-3 L	2-1 W
Staal Jørpeland	5-2 W	8-3 W
Varhaug	3-0 W	3-3 D
Brodd	4-1 W	3-1 W
Åkra	1-1 D	2-0 W
Madla	0-2 L	2-2 D
Vindbjart	0-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mandalskameratene (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viking 2

LWLDDWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
25/06	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
21/06	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	5-2	10	2	W
12/06	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-0	10	4	W
31/05	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-0	4-1	4	1	W
23/05	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
14/05	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	10	3	D
11/05	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-2	8	1	L
02/05	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	8-0	6	2	W
26/04	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-3	6	5	L

Mandalskameratene

LWDWDLWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-2	8-3	5	4	W
27/06	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-2	5	4	D
21/06	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
31/05	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-4	4-8	2	2	L
23/05	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/05	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
10/05	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
01/05	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
25/04	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	1-2	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viking 2 vs Mandalskameratene?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viking 2 win (56%). Probabilities: Viking 2 56%, draw 19%, Mandalskameratene 25%.

How many goals are expected in Viking 2 vs Mandalskameratene?

The model expects 4.29 goals (Viking 2 2.57 · Mandalskameratene 1.72), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Viking 2 vs Mandalskameratene?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.