Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 03/08, 18:00

Prediction: Brodd vs Stabaek 2

Team pages: Brodd · Stabaek 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.42Total

Brodd2.56

Stabaek 21.87

1X2

53% 20% 28%

Brodd Draw Stabaek 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Brodd 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLDWW

Stabaek 2 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLLWD

Head-to-head

Brodd 1–0 Stabaek 2 (1 last)

Stabaek 21-2Brodd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brodd 1517 · Stabaek 2 1490

	Brodd	Draw	Stabaek 2
Our model	53%	20%	28%
Market	53%	20%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brodd	Stabaek 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2	2.2 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	1.1 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6.8	3.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.5	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X4.50

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:21 +1’	1.70	4.50	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brodd 1–0–0 Stabaek 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Stabaek 2	1-2 HT 1-0	Brodd

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Flekkerøy	14	9	2	3	33	23	29
2	Madla	14	8	4	2	35	20	28
3	Vindbjart	13	7	2	4	29	15	23
4	Mandalskameratene	13	6	4	3	36	24	22
5	Viking 2	13	6	3	4	33	17	21
6	Varhaug	14	5	5	4	26	22	20
7	Brodd	13	6	1	6	29	27	19
8	Stabaek 2	13	5	1	7	31	36	16
9	Vag FK	14	5	1	8	20	25	16
10	Staal Jørpeland	14	4	4	6	28	36	16
11	Haugesund 2	14	4	3	7	28	35	15
12	Åkra	14	4	2	8	20	37	14
13	Odd II	13	3	4	6	21	33	13
14	Hinna	14	3	4	7	25	44	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brodd	Stabaek 2
Haugesund 2	4-0 W	2-3 L
Mandalskameratene	1-3 L	8-4 W
Viking 2	1-4 L	1-1 D
Vag FK	4-1 W	2-3 L
Staal Jørpeland	2-3 L	2-1 W
Varhaug	1-3 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brodd

LLWWWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
28/06	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-0	2	4	W
19/06	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	3-3	16	4	D
13/06	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
31/05	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-3	1-4	9	1	L
26/05	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
14/05	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
10/05	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-1	4-1	5	5	W
02/05	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
25/04	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

Stabaek 2

LWLLWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
28/06	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-2	3-2	4	1	W
21/06	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-4	5	6	L
15/06	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	2-3	2	4	L
31/05	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-2	8-4	8	2	W
26/05	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
14/05	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
11/05	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-4	0-6	6	1	L
02/05	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
27/04	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-3	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brodd vs Stabaek 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brodd win (53%). Probabilities: Brodd 53%, draw 20%, Stabaek 2 28%.

How many goals are expected in Brodd vs Stabaek 2?

The model expects 4.42 goals (Brodd 2.56 · Stabaek 2 1.87), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Brodd vs Stabaek 2?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.