Prediction: Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jørpeland
Team pages: Stabaek 2 · Staal Jørpeland
- Staal Jørpeland1-2Stabaek 2
| Stabaek 2 | Draw | Staal Jørpeland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 19% | 23% |
| Market | 59% | 19% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stabaek 2 (rating 1501 vs 1457).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stabaek 2 | Staal Jørpeland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.1 | 2.2 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stabaek 2 1–0–0 Staal Jørpeland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Staal Jørpeland | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Stabaek 2 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 24 | 32 |
| 2 | Vindbjart | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 20 | 29 |
| 3 | Flekkerøy | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 29 |
| 4 | Mandalskameratene | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 30 | 28 |
| 5 | Varhaug | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 26 |
| 6 | Viking 2 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 25 |
| 7 | Brodd | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 23 |
| 8 | Haugesund 2 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 40 | 21 |
| 9 | Stabaek 2 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 20 |
| 10 | Staal Jørpeland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 41 | 19 |
| 11 | Vag FK | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 29 | 16 |
| 12 | Odd II | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 39 | 16 |
| 13 | Hinna | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 49 | 16 |
| 14 | Åkra | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stabaek 2 | Staal Jørpeland |
|---|---|---|
| Varhaug | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Vag FK | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Viking 2 | 1-1 D | 2-5 L |
| Mandalskameratene | 8-4 W | 3-8 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Stabaek 2 (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stabaek 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 15/06 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
4-2 | 8-4 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Staal Jørpeland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-4 | 3-8 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/06 | Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jørpeland?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stabaek 2 win (59%). Probabilities: Stabaek 2 59%, draw 19%, Staal Jørpeland 23%.
How many goals are expected in Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jørpeland?
The model expects 4.45 goals (Stabaek 2 2.74 · Staal Jørpeland 1.72), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jørpeland?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.