Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: Staal Jørpeland vs Mandalskameratene

Team pages: Staal Jørpeland · Mandalskameratene

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.43Total

Staal Jørpeland2.18

Mandalskameratene2.25

1X2

38% 21% 41%

Staal Jørpeland Draw Mandalskameratene

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Staal Jørpeland 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Mandalskameratene 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Staal Jørpeland 3–3 Mandalskameratene (6 last)

Mandalskameratene8-3Staal Jørpeland
Mandalskameratene5-1Staal Jørpeland
Staal Jørpeland4-3Mandalskameratene
Staal Jørpeland3-2Mandalskameratene
Staal Jørpeland2-0Mandalskameratene
Mandalskameratene1-0Staal Jørpeland

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mandalskameratene (rating 1456 vs 1521).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Staal Jørpeland	Mandalskameratene
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.9	2.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.89

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.88
X	4.32 → 4.32	Pinn 4.32
2	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:48 +1’	2.88	4.32	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Staal Jørpeland 3–0–3 Mandalskameratene

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Mandalskameratene	8-3 HT 4-2	Staal Jørpeland
20/10/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Mandalskameratene	5-1 HT 1-1	Staal Jørpeland
27/04/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Staal Jørpeland	4-3 HT 1-0	Mandalskameratene
16/10/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Staal Jørpeland	3-2	Mandalskameratene
07/09/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Staal Jørpeland	2-0	Mandalskameratene
15/06/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Mandalskameratene	1-0	Staal Jørpeland

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	17	10	5	2	44	24	35
2	Vindbjart	17	10	2	5	44	20	32
3	Flekkerøy	17	10	2	5	39	28	32
4	Varhaug	17	8	5	4	32	23	29
5	Mandalskameratene	17	8	4	5	40	32	28
6	Brodd	17	8	2	7	36	32	26
7	Viking 2	17	7	4	6	41	25	25
8	Stabaek 2	17	7	2	8	37	41	23
9	Haugesund 2	17	6	3	8	36	44	21
10	Staal Jørpeland	17	5	4	8	34	43	19
11	Hinna	17	5	4	8	33	49	19
12	Vag FK	17	5	1	11	21	32	16
13	Odd II	17	4	4	9	26	43	16
14	Åkra	17	4	2	11	22	49	14

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Staal Jørpeland	Mandalskameratene
Stabaek 2	1-2 L	4-8 L
Viking 2	2-5 L	0-4 L
Vag FK	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Staal Jørpeland (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Staal Jørpeland

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-2	7	2	L
17/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	3-4	2	2	L
08/08	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
01/08	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
25/07	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-4	3-8	5	4	L
25/06	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
21/06	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-5	5	2	L
15/06	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-1	5-2	3	4	W
30/05	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
26/05	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Mandalskameratene

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
08/08	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
02/08	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
25/07	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-2	8-3	5	4	W
27/06	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-2	5	4	D
21/06	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
31/05	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-4	4-8	2	2	L
23/05	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Staal Jørpeland vs Mandalskameratene?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mandalskameratene win (41%). Probabilities: Staal Jørpeland 38%, draw 21%, Mandalskameratene 41%.

How many goals are expected in Staal Jørpeland vs Mandalskameratene?

The model expects 4.43 goals (Staal Jørpeland 2.18 · Mandalskameratene 2.25), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Staal Jørpeland vs Mandalskameratene?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.