Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: Flekkerøy vs Madla

Team pages: Flekkerøy · Madla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.08Total

Flekkerøy2.03

Madla2.05

1X2

39% 22% 40%

Flekkerøy Draw Madla

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Flekkerøy 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWLLW

Madla 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWLDWWWDW

Head-to-head

Flekkerøy 4–1 Madla (5 last)

Madla5-1Flekkerøy
Flekkerøy2-0Madla
Madla0-5Flekkerøy
Flekkerøy3-1Madla
Madla1-4Flekkerøy

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madla (rating 1503 vs 1562).
H2H favours Flekkerøy: 4-0-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Flekkerøy	Madla
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.1	2.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.1	3.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.77

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.00
X	3.65 → 3.65	Pinn 3.65
2	2.84 → 2.84	Pinn 2.84

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:48	2.00	3.65	2.84

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Flekkerøy 4–0–1 Madla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Madla	5-1 HT 4-0	Flekkerøy
07/09/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Flekkerøy	2-0	Madla
09/06/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Madla	0-5 HT 0-2	Flekkerøy
07/10/17 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Flekkerøy	3-1	Madla
24/06/17 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Madla	1-4 HT 1-3	Flekkerøy

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	17	10	5	2	44	24	35
2	Vindbjart	17	10	2	5	44	20	32
3	Flekkerøy	17	10	2	5	39	28	32
4	Varhaug	17	8	5	4	32	23	29
5	Mandalskameratene	17	8	4	5	40	32	28
6	Brodd	17	8	2	7	36	32	26
7	Viking 2	17	7	4	6	41	25	25
8	Stabaek 2	17	7	2	8	37	41	23
9	Haugesund 2	17	6	3	8	36	44	21
10	Staal Jørpeland	17	5	4	8	34	43	19
11	Hinna	17	5	4	8	33	49	19
12	Vag FK	17	5	1	11	21	32	16
13	Odd II	17	4	4	9	26	43	16
14	Åkra	17	4	2	11	22	49	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Flekkerøy	Madla
Åkra	4-1 W	3-1 W
Hinna	2-3 L	3-0 W
Haugesund 2	2-1 W	2-3 L
Odd II	1-3 L	4-0 W
Vindbjart	2-0 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Flekkerøy (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Flekkerøy

WWWLWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-3	2	4	L
01/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
25/07	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-4	1-5	2	2	L
26/06	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
22/06	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-3	8	5	L
14/06	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-3	6	2	W
30/05	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-3	4-3	–	–	W
23/05	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-0	2	7	W

Madla

WDWLDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-0	3	2	W
17/08	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
08/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	4-3	3	3	W
01/08	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	3-2	9	5	W
25/07	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-0	5-1	4	2	W
27/06	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
22/06	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-3	7	2	L
13/06	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
30/05	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
25/05	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	3-0	11	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Flekkerøy vs Madla?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Madla win (40%). Probabilities: Flekkerøy 39%, draw 22%, Madla 40%.

How many goals are expected in Flekkerøy vs Madla?

The model expects 4.08 goals (Flekkerøy 2.03 · Madla 2.05), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Flekkerøy vs Madla?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.