Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: Vag FK vs Åkra

Team pages: Vag FK · Åkra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.11Total

Vag FK2.33

Åkra1.77

1X2

50% 21% 29%

Vag FK Draw Åkra

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Vag FK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDLLLL

Åkra 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Vag FK 0–1 Åkra (1 last)

Åkra2-1Vag FK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vag FK	Åkra
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	1.3 / 3.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5.5	3.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.94

Under 4.251.77

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:36

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.58 → 1.58	Pinn 1.58
X	4.32 → 4.32	Pinn 4.32
2	3.79 → 3.79	Pinn 3.79

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:36	1.58	4.32	3.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vag FK 0–0–1 Åkra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Åkra	2-1 HT 0-1	Vag FK

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	17	10	5	2	44	24	35
2	Vindbjart	17	10	2	5	44	20	32
3	Flekkerøy	17	10	2	5	39	28	32
4	Varhaug	17	8	5	4	32	23	29
5	Mandalskameratene	17	8	4	5	40	32	28
6	Brodd	17	8	2	7	36	32	26
7	Viking 2	17	7	4	6	41	25	25
8	Stabaek 2	17	7	2	8	37	41	23
9	Haugesund 2	17	6	3	8	36	44	21
10	Staal Jørpeland	17	5	4	8	34	43	19
11	Hinna	17	5	4	8	33	49	19
12	Vag FK	17	5	1	11	21	32	16
13	Odd II	17	4	4	9	26	43	16
14	Åkra	17	4	2	11	22	49	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vag FK	Åkra
Madla	2-3 L	1-3 L
Odd II	1-1 D	2-1 W
Staal Jørpeland	0-1 L	4-3 W
Varhaug	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vag FK

WLWLWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
09/08	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
01/08	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-3	6	5	L
27/07	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
25/06	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
21/06	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
15/06	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-2	9	4	W
30/05	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
25/05	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	1-0	7	4	W

Åkra

LWLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-3	0-6	4	9	L
07/08	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
01/08	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	4-3	–	–	W
26/07	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
26/06	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
21/06	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
13/06	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
31/05	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/05	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-3	2-7	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vag FK vs Åkra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vag FK win (50%). Probabilities: Vag FK 50%, draw 21%, Åkra 29%.

How many goals are expected in Vag FK vs Åkra?

The model expects 4.11 goals (Vag FK 2.33 · Åkra 1.77), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vag FK vs Åkra?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.