Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 30/08, 14:00

Prediction: Brodd vs Viking 2

Team pages: Brodd · Viking 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Brodd1.87

Viking 21.69

1X2

43% 22% 36%

Brodd Draw Viking 2

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Brodd 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLDWWDLW

Viking 2 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWLDWLD

Head-to-head

Brodd 2–4 Viking 2 (6 last)

Viking 24-1Brodd
Brodd0-1Viking 2
Viking 21-6Brodd
Viking 21-2Brodd
Viking 23-0Brodd
Brodd0-3Viking 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brodd 1521 · Viking 2 1541

	Brodd	Draw	Viking 2
Our model	42%	24%	35%
Market	44%	20%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Viking 2: 4-0-2.
High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brodd	Viking 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	2.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 7.7	2.1 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +6’	2.05	4.50	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brodd 2–0–4 Viking 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Viking 2	4-1 HT 3-0	Brodd
06/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Brodd	0-1 HT 0-1	Viking 2
21/06/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Viking 2	1-6 HT 1-2	Brodd
21/02/25 Club Friendly List	Viking 2	1-2 HT 0-0	Brodd
14/08/23 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Viking 2	3-0 HT 1-0	Brodd
11/04/23 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Brodd	0-3 HT 0-1	Viking 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	16	9	5	2	40	24	32
2	Vindbjart	16	9	2	5	40	20	29
3	Flekkerøy	16	9	2	5	35	27	29
4	Mandalskameratene	16	8	4	4	40	30	28
5	Varhaug	16	7	5	4	30	23	26
6	Viking 2	16	7	4	5	40	22	25
7	Brodd	16	7	2	7	33	31	23
8	Haugesund 2	16	6	3	7	36	40	21
9	Stabaek 2	16	6	2	8	35	40	20
10	Staal Jørpeland	16	5	4	7	33	41	19
11	Vag FK	16	5	1	10	21	29	16
12	Odd II	16	4	4	8	26	39	16
13	Hinna	16	4	4	8	30	49	16
14	Åkra	16	4	2	10	21	45	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brodd	Viking 2
Mandalskameratene	1-2 L	4-0 W
Stabaek 2	2-2 D	1-1 D
Åkra	4-1 W	1-1 D
Haugesund 2	4-0 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Brodd (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brodd

WWLLDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
03/08	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	2-2	10	6	D
26/07	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
28/06	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-0	2	4	W
19/06	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	3-3	16	4	D
13/06	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
31/05	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-3	1-4	9	1	L
26/05	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
14/05	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-1	3	2	W

Viking 2

DDWWWLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
10/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-4	3	4	L
02/08	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	4-0	6	3	W
25/07	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
25/06	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
21/06	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	5-2	10	2	W
12/06	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-0	10	4	W
31/05	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-0	4-1	4	1	W
23/05	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
14/05	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	10	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brodd vs Viking 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brodd win (43%). Probabilities: Brodd 43%, draw 22%, Viking 2 36%.

How many goals are expected in Brodd vs Viking 2?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Brodd 1.87 · Viking 2 1.69), with a 57% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Brodd vs Viking 2?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.