Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 26/09, 14:00

Prediction: Åkra vs Madla

Team pages: Åkra · Madla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.22Total

Åkra1.7

Madla2.52

1X2

25% 20% 55%

Åkra Draw Madla

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Åkra 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLLLD

Madla 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWDWWWD

Head-to-head

Åkra 1–1 Madla (2 last)

Madla3-1Åkra
Åkra4-2Madla

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madla (rating 1395 vs 1574).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Åkra	Madla
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 3.1	2.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 3.4	2.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.86

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.86 → 5.86	Pinn 5.86
X	5.27 → 5.27	Pinn 5.27
2	1.30 → 1.30	Pinn 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:11 +45’	5.86	5.27	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Åkra 1–0–1 Madla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Madla	3-1 HT 0-0	Åkra
21/09/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Åkra	4-2 HT 1-1	Madla

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	20	12	6	2	51	26	42
2	Mandalskameratene	20	11	4	5	46	33	37
3	Varhaug	21	10	6	5	40	30	36
4	Vindbjart	20	11	2	7	47	24	35
5	Flekkerøy	20	10	3	7	41	34	33
6	Viking 2	20	9	5	6	50	28	32
7	Brodd	20	8	3	9	39	40	27
8	Stabaek 2	20	8	3	9	42	46	27
9	Vag FK	20	7	2	11	29	36	23
10	Odd II	20	6	5	9	36	45	23
11	Staal Jørpeland	21	6	5	10	41	52	23
12	Haugesund 2	20	6	4	10	37	55	22
13	Hinna	20	5	5	10	36	57	20
14	Åkra	20	4	3	13	27	56	15

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Åkra	Madla
Hinna	2-2 D	4-1 W
Odd II	1-2 L	4-0 W
Vag FK	2-3 L	3-2 W
Flekkerøy	1-4 L	2-0 W
Vindbjart	0-6 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Madla (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Åkra

LLLWLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-2	4	2	D
14/09	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	1-2	3	5	L
05/09	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
30/08	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-3	0-6	4	9	L
07/08	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
01/08	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	4-3	–	–	W
26/07	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
26/06	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
21/06	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Madla

LDWWWDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
12/09	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-1	4-1	1	5	W
05/09	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-0	3	2	W
17/08	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
08/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	4-3	3	3	W
01/08	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	3-2	9	5	W
25/07	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-0	5-1	4	2	W
27/06	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
22/06	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-3	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Åkra vs Madla?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Madla win (55%). Probabilities: Åkra 25%, draw 20%, Madla 55%.

How many goals are expected in Åkra vs Madla?

The model expects 4.22 goals (Åkra 1.7 · Madla 2.52), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Åkra vs Madla?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.