Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: Åkra vs Mandalskameratene

Team pages: Åkra · Mandalskameratene

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.1Total

Åkra1.37

Mandalskameratene2.73

1X2

17% 18% 66%

Åkra Draw Mandalskameratene

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Åkra 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLDL

Mandalskameratene 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Åkra 0–1–1 Mandalskameratene (2 last)

Mandalskameratene2-0Åkra
Åkra1-1Mandalskameratene

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Åkra 1393 · Mandalskameratene 1574

	Åkra	Draw	Mandalskameratene
Our model	17%	18%	65%
Market	17%	17%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 4.1 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mandalskameratene (rating 1393 vs 1574).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Åkra	Mandalskameratene
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 3.5	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.4	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 3.4	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.25

X5.25

21.36

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.98

2 (-1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +6’	5.25	5.25	1.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Åkra 0–1–1 Mandalskameratene

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Mandalskameratene	2-0 HT 2-0	Åkra
28/08/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Åkra	1-1	Mandalskameratene

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	21	13	6	2	57	26	45
2	Mandalskameratene	21	12	4	5	50	33	40
3	Vindbjart	21	12	2	7	49	24	38
4	Varhaug	21	10	6	5	40	30	36
5	Flekkerøy	21	11	3	7	43	35	36
6	Viking 2	21	9	5	7	51	30	32
7	Brodd	21	8	3	10	39	42	27
8	Stabaek 2	21	8	3	10	43	48	27
9	Vag FK	21	8	2	11	31	37	26
10	Staal Jørpeland	21	6	5	10	41	52	23
11	Odd II	21	6	5	10	36	49	23
12	Hinna	21	6	5	10	40	59	23
13	Haugesund 2	21	6	4	11	39	59	22
14	Åkra	21	4	3	14	27	62	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Åkra	Mandalskameratene
Madla	0-6 L	2-2 D
Odd II	1-2 L	4-0 W
Vag FK	2-3 L	2-1 W
Flekkerøy	1-4 L	3-1 W
Vindbjart	0-6 L	1-0 W
Varhaug	1-2 L	0-2 L
Staal Jørpeland	4-3 W	2-0 W
Brodd	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mandalskameratene (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Åkra

LLWLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
19/09	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-2	4	2	D
14/09	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	1-2	3	5	L
05/09	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
30/08	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-3	0-6	4	9	L
07/08	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
01/08	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	4-3	–	–	W
26/07	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
26/06	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-3	3	2	L

Mandalskameratene

DWLWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/09	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
30/08	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
08/08	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
02/08	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
25/07	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-2	8-3	5	4	W
27/06	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-2	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Åkra vs Mandalskameratene?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mandalskameratene win (66%). Probabilities: Åkra 17%, draw 18%, Mandalskameratene 66%.

How many goals are expected in Åkra vs Mandalskameratene?

The model expects 4.1 goals (Åkra 1.37 · Mandalskameratene 2.73), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Åkra vs Mandalskameratene?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.