Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 26/09, 14:00

Prediction: Oppsal vs Brumunddal

Team pages: Oppsal · Brumunddal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.71Total

Oppsal3.36

Brumunddal1.36

1X2

81% 11% 8%

Oppsal Draw Brumunddal

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Oppsal 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDDWLLLWW

Brumunddal 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLDWL

Head-to-head

Oppsal 1–0 Brumunddal (1 last)

Brumunddal1-4Oppsal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oppsal 1519 · Brumunddal 1400

	Oppsal	Draw	Brumunddal
Our model	75%	14%	11%
Market	86%	9%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 4.71 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oppsal (rating 1519 vs 1400).
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oppsal	Brumunddal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.2 / 4.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.3 / 1.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.3	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.10

X11.00

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.98

2 (+3.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.85

Under 4.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.10▲	Bet365 1.10
X	13.00 → 11.00▼	Bet365 11.00
2	21.00 → 17.00▼	Bet365 17.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:57 +3’	1.06	13.00	21.00
17:43 +5’	1.10▲	11.00▼	17.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oppsal 1–0–0 Brumunddal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Brumunddal	1-4 HT 1-2	Oppsal

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	20	15	2	3	74	29	47
2	Elverum	20	13	2	5	53	32	41
3	Rade IL	20	12	3	5	69	35	39
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	20	11	2	7	29	17	35
5	Oppsal	20	9	3	8	35	30	30
6	Lyn 1896 II	20	9	3	8	47	46	30
7	Drøbak/Frogn	20	8	5	7	40	30	29
8	Sandefjord 2	20	9	2	9	49	42	29
9	Ørn Horten	20	8	5	7	36	33	29
10	Rælingen	20	8	4	8	38	49	28
11	Sarpsborg 2	20	7	4	9	46	47	25
12	Fram	20	6	4	10	36	44	22
13	Brumunddal	20	3	3	14	24	82	12
14	Bjørkelangen	20	1	0	19	16	76	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oppsal	Brumunddal
Sandefjord 2	1-2 L	1-2 L
Rælingen	0-1 L	2-4 L
Elverum	0-4 L	1-1 D
Bjørkelangen	1-0 W	4-2 W
Sarpsborg 2	2-2 D	0-11 L
Lyn 1896 II	2-2 D	1-9 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Oppsal (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oppsal

LWDDWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/09	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	6-3	5	2	W
05/09	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
30/08	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
15/08	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
08/08	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
03/08	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	2-2	3	4	D
27/07	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
27/06	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	3-1	6	2	W
20/06	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	1-2	–	–	L

Brumunddal

DLLLLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
12/09	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/09	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
15/08	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-4	–	–	L
09/08	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-4	0-11	3	1	L
03/08	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-3	1-9	–	–	L
25/07	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	1-7	2	2	L
25/06	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	0-3	6	2	L
21/06	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-2	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oppsal vs Brumunddal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oppsal win (81%). Probabilities: Oppsal 81%, draw 11%, Brumunddal 8%.

How many goals are expected in Oppsal vs Brumunddal?

The model expects 4.71 goals (Oppsal 3.36 · Brumunddal 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Oppsal vs Brumunddal?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.