Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: Drøbak/Frogn vs Sarpsborg 2

Team pages: Drøbak/Frogn · Sarpsborg 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.35Total

Drøbak/Frogn2.29

Sarpsborg 22.06

1X2

44% 21% 35%

Drøbak/Frogn Draw Sarpsborg 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Drøbak/Frogn 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWLLWDWW

Sarpsborg 2 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWWWDW

Head-to-head

Drøbak/Frogn 1–2–2 Sarpsborg 2 (5 last)

Sarpsborg 21-0Drøbak/Frogn
Drøbak/Frogn3-3Sarpsborg 2
Sarpsborg 25-1Drøbak/Frogn
Drøbak/Frogn3-1Sarpsborg 2
Sarpsborg 23-3Drøbak/Frogn

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sarpsborg 2: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Drøbak/Frogn	Sarpsborg 2
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.6	3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	1.7 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.2	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.83

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:42

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.04 → 2.04	Pinn 2.04
X	3.91 → 3.91	Pinn 3.91
2	2.65 → 2.65	Pinn 2.65

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +90’	2.04	3.91	2.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Drøbak/Frogn 1–2–2 Sarpsborg 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Sarpsborg 2	1-0 HT 0-0	Drøbak/Frogn
20/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Drøbak/Frogn	3-3 HT 2-1	Sarpsborg 2
07/04/25 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Sarpsborg 2	5-1 HT 4-0	Drøbak/Frogn
14/10/17 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Drøbak/Frogn	3-1	Sarpsborg 2
03/07/17 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Sarpsborg 2	3-3 HT 1-1	Drøbak/Frogn

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	21	16	2	3	79	30	50
2	Elverum	21	13	2	6	56	36	41
3	Rade IL	21	12	3	6	70	40	39
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	21	11	2	8	31	20	35
5	Oppsal	21	10	3	8	37	31	33
6	Drøbak/Frogn	21	9	5	7	46	30	32
7	Sandefjord 2	21	10	2	9	53	45	32
8	Ørn Horten	21	9	5	7	40	35	32
9	Lyn 1896 II	20	9	3	8	47	46	30
10	Sarpsborg 2	21	8	4	9	49	49	28
11	Rælingen	20	8	4	8	38	49	28
12	Fram	21	6	4	11	38	48	22
13	Brumunddal	21	3	3	15	25	84	12
14	Bjørkelangen	21	1	0	20	16	82	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Drøbak/Frogn	Sarpsborg 2
Bjørkelangen	6-0 W	0-2 L
Gjøvik-Lyn	3-2 W	3-2 W
Lyn 1896 II	4-1 W	2-2 D
Fram	3-4 L	0-3 L
Rade IL	2-3 L	3-2 W
Lillehammer	1-2 L	3-1 W
Brumunddal	7-1 W	11-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Drøbak/Frogn

DWLWLLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
19/09	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-2	0	6	D
07/09	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	4-1	1	4	W
30/08	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-4	–	–	L
15/08	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
10/08	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
01/08	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
25/07	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	7-1	8	2	W
27/06	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Sarpsborg 2

LLDWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-2	3-2	4	3	W
21/09	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
12/09	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-1	3-1	1	6	W
07/09	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-2	4-3	1	4	W
31/08	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-2	3-2	7	4	W
17/08	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
09/08	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	4-0	11-0	7	1	W
03/08	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
27/07	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-2	2-3	4	0	L
25/06	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Drøbak/Frogn vs Sarpsborg 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Drøbak/Frogn win (44%). Probabilities: Drøbak/Frogn 44%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 2 35%.

How many goals are expected in Drøbak/Frogn vs Sarpsborg 2?

The model expects 4.35 goals (Drøbak/Frogn 2.29 · Sarpsborg 2 2.06), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Drøbak/Frogn vs Sarpsborg 2?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.