Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Sarpsborg 2 vs Gjøvik-Lyn

Team pages: Sarpsborg 2 · Gjøvik-Lyn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Sarpsborg 22.01

Gjøvik-Lyn1.51

1X2

48% 23% 28%

Sarpsborg 2 Draw Gjøvik-Lyn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Sarpsborg 2 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLWWWD

Gjøvik-Lyn 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Sarpsborg 2 0–1 Gjøvik-Lyn (1 last)

Gjøvik-Lyn1-0Sarpsborg 2

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sarpsborg 2	Gjøvik-Lyn
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.9	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 1.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.9	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.86

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.03 → 3.02▼	Pinn 3.02
X	3.79 → 3.78▼	Pinn 3.78
2	1.88 → 1.88▲	Pinn 1.88

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +37’	3.03	3.79	1.88
05:54 +68’	3.02▼	3.78▼	1.88▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarpsborg 2 0–0–1 Gjøvik-Lyn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Gjøvik-Lyn	1-0 HT 1-0	Sarpsborg 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	20	15	2	3	74	29	47
2	Elverum	20	13	2	5	53	32	41
3	Rade IL	20	12	3	5	69	35	39
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	20	11	2	7	29	17	35
5	Oppsal	20	9	3	8	35	30	30
6	Lyn 1896 II	20	9	3	8	47	46	30
7	Drøbak/Frogn	20	8	5	7	40	30	29
8	Sandefjord 2	20	9	2	9	49	42	29
9	Ørn Horten	20	8	5	7	36	33	29
10	Rælingen	20	8	4	8	38	49	28
11	Sarpsborg 2	20	7	4	9	46	47	25
12	Fram	20	6	4	10	36	44	22
13	Brumunddal	20	3	3	14	24	82	12
14	Bjørkelangen	20	1	0	19	16	76	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sarpsborg 2	Gjøvik-Lyn
Lyn 1896 II	2-2 D	2-0 W
Lillehammer	3-1 W	0-2 L
Ørn Horten	4-3 W	0-1 L
Rade IL	3-2 W	0-2 L
Brumunddal	11-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sarpsborg 2 (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sarpsborg 2

WLLDWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
12/09	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-1	3-1	1	6	W
07/09	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-2	4-3	1	4	W
31/08	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-2	3-2	7	4	W
17/08	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
09/08	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	4-0	11-0	7	1	W
03/08	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
27/07	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-2	2-3	4	0	L
25/06	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
20/06	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	2-1	2	3	W

Gjøvik-Lyn

WWLWLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
01/09	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
15/08	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
08/08	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	3-1	3	1	W
25/07	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
25/06	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
20/06	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	3-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sarpsborg 2 vs Gjøvik-Lyn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sarpsborg 2 win (48%). Probabilities: Sarpsborg 2 48%, draw 23%, Gjøvik-Lyn 28%.

How many goals are expected in Sarpsborg 2 vs Gjøvik-Lyn?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Sarpsborg 2 2.01 · Gjøvik-Lyn 1.51), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 2 vs Gjøvik-Lyn?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.