Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 25/07, 15:00

Prediction: Hinna vs Vindbjart

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.94Total

Hinna1.55

Vindbjart2.38

1X2

24% 20% 56%

Hinna Draw Vindbjart

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Hinna 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLDLDD

Vindbjart 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLDWWL

Head-to-head

Hinna 1–1–1 Vindbjart (3 last)

Hinna3-1Vindbjart
Vindbjart6-4Hinna
Hinna2-2Vindbjart

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hinna 1452 · Vindbjart 1516

	Hinna	Draw	Vindbjart
Our model	24%	21%	55%
Market	24%	20%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vindbjart (rating 1452 vs 1516).
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hinna	Vindbjart
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.9	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	2.6 / 8.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.70

X4.50

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:08 +5’	3.70	4.50	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hinna 1–1–1 Vindbjart

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Hinna	3-1 HT 0-1	Vindbjart
24/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Vindbjart	6-4 HT 2-2	Hinna
04/09/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Hinna	2-2 HT 1-0	Vindbjart

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Flekkerøy	12	8	2	2	30	17	26
2	Madla	12	6	4	2	27	17	22
3	Viking 2	12	6	2	4	32	16	20
4	Vindbjart	12	6	2	4	22	15	20
5	Mandalskameratene	12	5	4	3	28	21	19
6	Varhaug	12	5	4	3	21	15	19
7	Brodd	12	5	1	6	25	26	16
8	Staal Jørpeland	12	4	4	4	22	24	16
9	Vag FK	12	5	0	7	17	21	15
10	Stabaek 2	12	5	0	7	30	35	15
11	Haugesund 2	12	4	2	6	25	31	14
12	Odd II	12	3	3	6	20	32	12
13	Åkra	12	3	2	7	15	30	11
14	Hinna	12	2	4	6	20	34	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hinna	Vindbjart
Staal Jørpeland	1-1 D	3-3 D
Flekkerøy	3-4 L	0-2 L
Varhaug	2-2 D	1-0 W
Madla	0-3 L	2-2 D
Haugesund 2	2-2 D	4-0 W
Åkra	3-4 L	2-0 W
Viking 2	0-8 L	3-0 W
Odd II	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 4 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vindbjart (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hinna

DLLDLLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/06	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
19/06	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-3	1	4	D
14/06	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	3-4	3	2	L
05/06	Varhaug Norway Cup	1-1	2-2	9	6	D
29/05	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
25/05	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-3	7	4	L
14/05	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
07/05	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	3-4	–	–	L
02/05	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-8	5	2	L
26/04	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	2	3	D

Vindbjart

WWWDLLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-2	2-3	10	1	L
21/06	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-0	11	1	W
30/05	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	6	4	D
23/05	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
16/05	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-2	11	4	L
09/05	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	3-3	3	1	D
02/05	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
26/04	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-0	12	5	W
18/04	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hinna vs Vindbjart?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vindbjart win (56%). Probabilities: Hinna 24%, draw 20%, Vindbjart 56%.

How many goals are expected in Hinna vs Vindbjart?

The model expects 3.94 goals (Hinna 1.55 · Vindbjart 2.38), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hinna vs Vindbjart?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.