Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 09/10, 17:00

Prediction: Flekkerøy vs Odd II

Team pages: Flekkerøy · Odd II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

Flekkerøy2.55

Odd II1.24

1X2

66% 17% 17%

Flekkerøy Draw Odd II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Flekkerøy 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLDWW

Odd II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWWDLW

Head-to-head

Flekkerøy 3–2–1 Odd II (6 last)

Odd II3-1Flekkerøy
Flekkerøy2-0Odd II
Odd II2-2Flekkerøy
Flekkerøy2-1Odd II
Odd II0-0Flekkerøy
Flekkerøy4-0Odd II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Flekkerøy 1485 · Odd II 1510

	Flekkerøy	Draw	Odd II
Our model	65%	19%	16%
Market	67%	15%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Flekkerøy: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Flekkerøy	Odd II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 3.4	2.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.75

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.98

2 (+1.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 14:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.33▼	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 5.75▲	Bet365 5.75
2	3.50 → 5.00▲	Pinn 5.91 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:51 +16’	1.61	4.75	3.50
11:05 +10’	1.60▼	5.00▲	3.50
09:51 +7’	1.48▼	5.25▲	4.10▲
14:48 +3’	1.33▼	5.75▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +11’	1.61	4.19	3.77
06:24 +213’	1.48▼	4.41▲	4.43▲
14:29 +22’	1.32▼	4.97▲	5.91▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 4

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Flekkerøy 3–2–1 Odd II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Odd II	3-1 HT 0-0	Flekkerøy
03/10/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Flekkerøy	2-0 HT 1-0	Odd II
27/06/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Odd II	2-2 HT 1-0	Flekkerøy
19/09/21 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Flekkerøy	2-1 HT 0-0	Odd II
08/07/21 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Odd II	0-0 HT 0-0	Flekkerøy
13/07/20 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Flekkerøy	4-0 HT 1-0	Odd II

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	22	13	6	3	57	27	45
2	Mandalskameratene	22	13	4	5	54	33	43
3	Flekkerøy	22	12	3	7	45	36	39
4	Vindbjart	22	12	2	8	50	26	38
5	Varhaug	22	10	6	6	41	34	36
6	Viking 2	22	9	5	8	52	33	32
7	Stabaek 2	22	9	3	10	47	49	30
8	Brodd	22	9	3	10	40	42	30
9	Vag FK	22	9	2	11	35	38	29
10	Staal Jørpeland	22	7	5	10	45	54	26
11	Odd II	22	7	5	10	39	50	26
12	Hinna	22	6	5	11	42	63	23
13	Haugesund 2	22	6	4	12	40	63	22
14	Åkra	22	4	3	15	27	66	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Flekkerøy	Odd II
Vindbjart	2-1 W	1-2 L
Stabaek 2	2-1 W	1-1 D
Mandalskameratene	1-3 L	0-4 L
Madla	0-2 L	0-4 L
Åkra	4-1 W	2-1 W
Hinna	2-3 L	3-2 W
Haugesund 2	2-1 W	7-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Flekkerøy (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Flekkerøy

LWLLWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	2-1	0	3	W
27/09	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
19/09	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-3	2	4	L
01/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
25/07	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-4	1-5	2	2	L

Odd II

DLLWLWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-1	3	8	W
26/09	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-4	–	–	L
21/09	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
14/09	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
06/09	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	7-0	–	–	W
31/08	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
16/08	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
03/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
27/07	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-1	11	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Flekkerøy vs Odd II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Flekkerøy win (66%). Probabilities: Flekkerøy 66%, draw 17%, Odd II 17%.

How many goals are expected in Flekkerøy vs Odd II?

The model expects 3.8 goals (Flekkerøy 2.55 · Odd II 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Flekkerøy vs Odd II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.