Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Varhaug vs Madla

Team pages: Varhaug · Madla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Varhaug1.94

Madla1.85

1X2

40% 23% 37%

Varhaug Draw Madla

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Varhaug 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWLDWL

Madla 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWDWL

Head-to-head

Varhaug 0–1–0 Madla (1 last)

Madla1-1Varhaug

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madla (rating 1507 vs 1548).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Varhaug	Madla
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.84

Under 3.751.87

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.20
X	3.86 → 3.86	Pinn 3.86
2	1.81 → 1.81	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +50’	3.20	3.86	1.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Varhaug 0–1–0 Madla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Madla	1-1 HT 1-0	Varhaug

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	22	13	6	3	57	27	45
2	Mandalskameratene	22	13	4	5	54	33	43
3	Flekkerøy	23	12	3	8	45	37	39
4	Vindbjart	22	12	2	8	50	26	38
5	Varhaug	22	10	6	6	41	34	36
6	Viking 2	22	9	5	8	52	33	32
7	Stabaek 2	22	9	3	10	47	49	30
8	Brodd	22	9	3	10	40	42	30
9	Vag FK	22	9	2	11	35	38	29
10	Odd II	23	8	5	10	40	50	29
11	Staal Jørpeland	22	7	5	10	45	54	26
12	Hinna	22	6	5	11	42	63	23
13	Haugesund 2	22	6	4	12	40	63	22
14	Åkra	22	4	3	15	27	66	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Varhaug	Madla
Vag FK	1-4 L	3-2 W
Flekkerøy	1-1 D	2-0 W
Viking 2	0-4 L	1-1 D
Brodd	3-0 W	0-1 L
Åkra	2-1 W	6-0 W
Hinna	3-5 L	4-1 W
Haugesund 2	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Madla (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Varhaug

DLWWWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	1-4	6	3	L
25/09	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	4-2	7	6	W
19/09	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
14/09	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-4	1	5	L
05/09	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
30/08	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/08	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	2-0	3	7	W
07/08	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
31/07	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-5	–	–	L
27/07	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	–	–	D

Madla

WWWDWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
26/09	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
21/09	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
12/09	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-1	4-1	1	5	W
05/09	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-0	3	2	W
17/08	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
08/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	4-3	3	3	W
01/08	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	3-2	9	5	W
25/07	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-0	5-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Varhaug vs Madla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Varhaug win (40%). Probabilities: Varhaug 40%, draw 23%, Madla 37%.

How many goals are expected in Varhaug vs Madla?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Varhaug 1.94 · Madla 1.85), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Varhaug vs Madla?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.