Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Brodd vs Hinna

Team pages: Brodd · Hinna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.28Total

Brodd2.63

Hinna1.65

1X2

58% 20% 23%

Brodd Draw Hinna

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Brodd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLLDLW

Hinna 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLDWL

Head-to-head

Brodd 5–1–0 Hinna (6 last)

Hinna3-3Brodd
Hinna1-2Brodd
Hinna3-4Brodd
Brodd1-0Hinna
Brodd2-1Hinna
Hinna1-7Brodd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brodd 1504 · Hinna 1461

	Brodd	Draw	Hinna
Our model	58%	19%	23%
Market	58%	20%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 4.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brodd (rating 1504 vs 1461).
H2H favours Brodd: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brodd	Hinna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	2.2 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.7 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.6	2.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.6	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.08 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:11 +23’	1.55	4.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +47’	1.53	4.38	4.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brodd 5–1–0 Hinna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Hinna	3-3 HT 2-1	Brodd
06/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Hinna	1-2 HT 1-0	Brodd
26/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Hinna	3-4 HT 2-1	Brodd
19/07/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Brodd	1-0 HT 0-0	Hinna
28/08/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Brodd	2-1 HT 1-1	Hinna
30/09/16 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Hinna	1-7 HT 0-3	Brodd

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	22	13	6	3	57	27	45
2	Mandalskameratene	22	13	4	5	54	33	43
3	Flekkerøy	23	12	3	8	45	37	39
4	Vindbjart	22	12	2	8	50	26	38
5	Varhaug	22	10	6	6	41	34	36
6	Viking 2	22	9	5	8	52	33	32
7	Stabaek 2	22	9	3	10	47	49	30
8	Brodd	22	9	3	10	40	42	30
9	Vag FK	22	9	2	11	35	38	29
10	Odd II	23	8	5	10	40	50	29
11	Staal Jørpeland	22	7	5	10	45	54	26
12	Hinna	22	6	5	11	42	63	23
13	Haugesund 2	22	6	4	12	40	63	22
14	Åkra	22	4	3	15	27	66	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brodd	Hinna
Madla	1-0 W	1-4 L
Vindbjart	0-2 L	0-2 L
Vag FK	2-2 D	3-0 W
Staal Jørpeland	1-3 L	2-4 L
Varhaug	0-3 L	5-3 W
Flekkerøy	1-0 W	3-2 W
Åkra	4-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brodd

WDLWWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
26/09	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-2	7	1	L
19/09	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	3	12	D
12/09	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	1-3	3	6	L
05/09	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
30/08	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	3-1	9	2	W
15/08	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
03/08	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	2-2	10	6	D
26/07	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-1	–	–	W

Hinna

LWWLWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	2-4	7	3	L
28/09	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
19/09	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	11	2	D
12/09	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-4	1-4	8	5	L
05/09	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
30/08	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/08	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
31/07	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	5-3	–	–	W
25/07	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-7	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brodd vs Hinna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brodd win (58%). Probabilities: Brodd 58%, draw 20%, Hinna 23%.

How many goals are expected in Brodd vs Hinna?

The model expects 4.28 goals (Brodd 2.63 · Hinna 1.65), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brodd vs Hinna?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.