Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Rade IL vs Lillehammer

Team pages: Rade IL · Lillehammer

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.28Total

Rade IL2.17

Lillehammer2.11

1X2

41% 21% 38%

Rade IL Draw Lillehammer

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Rade IL 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWLWWD

Lillehammer 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Rade IL 0–1 Lillehammer (1 last)

Lillehammer8-1Rade IL

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lillehammer (rating 1527 vs 1573).
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rade IL	Lillehammer
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.6	3.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.9	2.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	3.4 / 8.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.84

Under 3.751.87

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.61▲	Pinn 2.61
X	3.67 → 3.61▼	Pinn 3.61
2	2.14 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.15

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +90’	2.60	3.67	2.14
06:57	2.61▲	3.61▼	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rade IL 0–0–1 Lillehammer

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Lillehammer	8-1 HT 7-0	Rade IL

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	20	15	2	3	74	29	47
2	Elverum	20	13	2	5	53	32	41
3	Rade IL	20	12	3	5	69	35	39
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	20	11	2	7	29	17	35
5	Oppsal	20	9	3	8	35	30	30
6	Lyn 1896 II	20	9	3	8	47	46	30
7	Drøbak/Frogn	20	8	5	7	40	30	29
8	Sandefjord 2	20	9	2	9	49	42	29
9	Ørn Horten	20	8	5	7	36	33	29
10	Rælingen	20	8	4	8	38	49	28
11	Sarpsborg 2	20	7	4	9	46	47	25
12	Fram	20	6	4	10	36	44	22
13	Brumunddal	20	3	3	14	24	82	12
14	Bjørkelangen	20	1	0	19	16	76	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rade IL	Lillehammer
Elverum	4-2 W	3-4 L
Gjøvik-Lyn	2-0 W	2-0 W
Sarpsborg 2	2-3 L	1-3 L
Drøbak/Frogn	3-2 W	2-1 W
Rælingen	1-1 D	3-0 W
Bjørkelangen	8-1 W	7-1 W
Lyn 1896 II	3-5 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rade IL (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rade IL

WLWWDWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	4-2	3	2	W
05/09	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	2-0	5	2	W
31/08	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-3	2-3	6	4	L
15/08	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
09/08	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
01/08	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	5-1	8-1	2	1	W
25/07	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	3-0	2	4	W
28/06	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	3-5	6	4	L
20/06	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-1	4	4	W

Lillehammer

WDWWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	5-1	7-1	–	–	W
12/09	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-3	1-3	15	6	L
05/09	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/08	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-4	3-4	–	–	L
17/08	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-0	4-1	5	2	W
08/08	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
01/08	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
25/07	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	4-2	7	3	W
27/06	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
20/06	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-0	5-3	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rade IL vs Lillehammer?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rade IL win (41%). Probabilities: Rade IL 41%, draw 21%, Lillehammer 38%.

How many goals are expected in Rade IL vs Lillehammer?

The model expects 4.28 goals (Rade IL 2.17 · Lillehammer 2.11), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rade IL vs Lillehammer?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.