Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 3 · 12/07, 09:30
Prediction: Springfield United vs Moggill
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.06Total
Springfield United1.56
Moggill2.49
1X2
Springfield United
Draw
Moggill
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Springfield United
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Moggill
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Springfield United
0–1
Moggill
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Springfield United 1548 · Moggill 1555
| Springfield United | Draw | Moggill | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| Market | 22% | 21% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 15.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Springfield United | Moggill | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.9 | 2.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.8 | 3.7 / 8.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Springfield United 0–0–1 Moggill
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Moggill | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Springfield United |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 3
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moggill | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 36 |
| 2 | Yeronga Eagles FC | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 59 | 25 | 35 |
| 3 | Newmarket | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 33 |
| 4 | Springfield United | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 35 | 32 |
| 5 | AC Carina | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 49 | 23 | 30 |
| 6 | North Lakes United | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 21 |
| 7 | Mount Gravatt Hawks | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 41 | 21 |
| 8 | Ipswich Knights | 19 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 43 | 21 |
| 9 | North Brisbane FC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 53 | 21 |
| 10 | Logan Roos FC | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 48 | 19 |
| 11 | University of Queensland | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 43 | 18 |
| 12 | North Pine | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 15 |
| 13 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 66 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Springfield United | Moggill |
|---|---|---|
| Yeronga Eagles FC | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Mount Gravatt Hawks | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Newmarket | 2-2 D | 0-7 L |
| North Lakes United | 1-5 L | 4-0 W |
| Ipswich Knights | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Redcliffe Dolphins SC | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| Logan Roos FC | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| University of Queensland | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Springfield United (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Springfield United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | AC Carina Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Logan Roos FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
Moggill
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Logan Roos FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Peninsula Power Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Springfield United vs Moggill?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Moggill win (57%). Probabilities: Springfield United 23%, draw 20%, Moggill 57%.
How many goals are expected in Springfield United vs Moggill?
The model expects 4.06 goals (Springfield United 1.56 · Moggill 2.49), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Springfield United vs Moggill?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.