Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 18/10, 15:00
Prediction: Fløya vs Tromso 2
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.29Total
Fløya2.52
Tromso 21.77
1X2
Fløya
Draw
Tromso 2
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Fløya
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Tromso 2
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fløya
2–4
Tromso 2
(6 last)
- Tromso 22-3Fløya
- Tromso 23-0Fløya
- Fløya2-1Tromso 2
- Fløya1-2Tromso 2
- Tromso 22-1Fløya
- Tromso 22-1Fløya
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fløya (rating 1585 vs 1527).
- H2H favours Tromso 2: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fløya | Tromso 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.5 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 5 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fløya 2–0–4 Tromso 2
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Tromso 2 | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Fløya |
| 10/07/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Tromso 2 | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Fløya |
| 27/04/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Fløya | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Tromso 2 |
| 09/10/23 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Fløya | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Tromso 2 |
| 26/06/23 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Tromso 2 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Fløya |
| 16/10/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Tromso 2 | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Fløya |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 53 | 30 | 50 |
| 2 | Fløya | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 67 | 36 | 48 |
| 3 | Harstad | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 79 | 38 | 46 |
| 4 | Alta | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 38 | 45 |
| 5 | Finnsnes IL | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
| 6 | Kongsvinger 2 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 65 | 35 |
| 7 | Skjetten | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 56 | 51 | 33 |
| 8 | Fauske/Sprint | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 62 | 81 | 31 |
| 9 | Lillestrøm 2 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 71 | 58 | 28 |
| 10 | Strømsgodset 2 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 49 | 52 | 27 |
| 11 | Skjervøy | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 58 | 27 |
| 12 | Tromso 2 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 42 | 24 |
| 13 | Bossekop | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 37 | 79 | 19 |
| 14 | IL Ulfstind | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 81 | 15 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fløya | Tromso 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Skedsmo | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Bossekop | 5-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Strømsgodset 2 | 4-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Finnsnes IL | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Kongsvinger 2 | 5-1 W | 6-0 W |
| Skjetten | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Harstad | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Alta | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Fløya (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fløya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/08 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Tromso 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/09 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/09 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fløya vs Tromso 2?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fløya win (54%). Probabilities: Fløya 54%, draw 20%, Tromso 2 26%.
How many goals are expected in Fløya vs Tromso 2?
The model expects 4.29 goals (Fløya 2.52 · Tromso 2 1.77), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fløya vs Tromso 2?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.