Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 24/10, 14:00
Prediction: Lillestrøm 2 vs Fløya
Team pages: Lillestrøm 2 · Fløya
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.46Total
Lillestrøm 21.97
Fløya2.49
1X2
Lillestrøm 2
Draw
Fløya
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
1-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Lillestrøm 2
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Fløya
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lillestrøm 2
2–4
Fløya
(6 last)
- Fløya3-2Lillestrøm 2
- Fløya2-0Lillestrøm 2
- Lillestrøm 20-3Fløya
- Fløya3-1Lillestrøm 2
- Lillestrøm 23-1Fløya
- Lillestrøm 24-0Fløya
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fløya (rating 1470 vs 1602).
- H2H favours Fløya: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lillestrøm 2 | Fløya | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 2.5 | 3.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 7.4 | 4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lillestrøm 2 2–0–4 Fløya
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Fløya | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Lillestrøm 2 |
| 21/08/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Fløya | 2-0 | Lillestrøm 2 |
| 26/06/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Lillestrøm 2 | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Fløya |
| 08/09/19 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Fløya | 3-1 | Lillestrøm 2 |
| 21/07/19 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Lillestrøm 2 | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Fløya |
| 06/08/17 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Lillestrøm 2 | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Fløya |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Fløya | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 70 | 36 | 51 |
| 3 | Harstad | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 79 | 38 | 46 |
| 4 | Alta | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 38 | 45 |
| 5 | Finnsnes IL | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 40 |
| 6 | Kongsvinger 2 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 65 | 35 |
| 7 | Skjetten | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 57 | 54 | 33 |
| 8 | Lillestrøm 2 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 76 | 58 | 31 |
| 9 | Fauske/Sprint | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 62 | 81 | 31 |
| 10 | Strømsgodset 2 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 52 | 53 | 30 |
| 11 | Skjervøy | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 61 | 27 |
| 12 | Tromso 2 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 45 | 24 |
| 13 | Bossekop | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 39 | 82 | 19 |
| 14 | IL Ulfstind | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 86 | 15 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lillestrøm 2 | Fløya |
|---|---|---|
| IL Ulfstind | 5-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Tromso 2 | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Strømsgodset 2 | 3-3 D | 4-2 W |
| Skedsmo | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Bossekop | 11-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Finnsnes IL | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Harstad | 3-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Skjetten | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Fløya (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lillestrøm 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-4 | 3-8 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 14/09 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-0 | 11-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/08 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
Fløya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/08 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lillestrøm 2 vs Fløya?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fløya win (49%). Probabilities: Lillestrøm 2 31%, draw 20%, Fløya 49%.
How many goals are expected in Lillestrøm 2 vs Fløya?
The model expects 4.46 goals (Lillestrøm 2 1.97 · Fløya 2.49), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lillestrøm 2 vs Fløya?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.