Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: Finnsnes IL vs Harstad

Team pages: Finnsnes IL · Harstad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.05Total

Finnsnes IL1.82

Harstad2.23

1X2

31% 22% 47%

Finnsnes IL Draw Harstad

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Finnsnes IL 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWDDW

Harstad 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLDWW

Head-to-head

Finnsnes IL 1–4–1 Harstad (6 last)

Harstad5-1Finnsnes IL
Harstad1-5Finnsnes IL
Finnsnes IL0-0Harstad
Finnsnes IL1-1Harstad
Harstad2-2Finnsnes IL
Finnsnes IL2-2Harstad

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harstad (rating 1469 vs 1585).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Finnsnes IL	Harstad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	3.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.7	– / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	3 / 1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.86

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.53 → 2.76▲	Pinn 2.76
X	4.07 → 4.13▲	Pinn 4.13
2	2.06 → 1.92▼	Pinn 1.92

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:14 +29’	2.53	4.07	2.06
05:38 +14’	2.76▲	4.13▲	1.92▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Finnsnes IL 1–4–1 Harstad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Harstad	5-1 HT 2-1	Finnsnes IL
26/10/19 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Harstad	1-5	Finnsnes IL
13/04/19 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Finnsnes IL	0-0	Harstad
11/08/18 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Finnsnes IL	1-1	Harstad
21/04/18 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Harstad	2-2	Finnsnes IL
03/08/16 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Finnsnes IL	2-2 HT 1-1	Harstad

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skedsmo	24	17	2	5	56	32	53
2	Fløya	24	16	3	5	70	36	51
3	Harstad	24	14	4	6	79	38	46
4	Alta	24	13	6	5	59	38	45
5	Finnsnes IL	24	12	4	8	45	38	40
6	Kongsvinger 2	24	11	2	11	52	65	35
7	Skjetten	24	10	3	11	57	54	33
8	Lillestrøm 2	24	10	1	13	76	58	31
9	Fauske/Sprint	24	9	4	11	62	81	31
10	Strømsgodset 2	24	9	3	12	52	53	30
11	Skjervøy	24	8	3	13	38	61	27
12	Tromso 2	24	6	6	12	44	45	24
13	Bossekop	24	5	4	15	39	82	19
14	IL Ulfstind	24	4	3	17	38	86	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Finnsnes IL	Harstad
Skjetten	3-1 W	3-1 W
IL Ulfstind	2-2 D	6-1 W
Tromso 2	1-1 D	1-0 W
Skjervøy	2-0 W	7-0 W
Fløya	1-3 L	3-2 W
Alta	1-2 L	6-1 W
Lillestrøm 2	0-1 L	4-3 W
Fauske/Sprint	3-1 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Harstad (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Finnsnes IL

LWLLLLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	3-1	7	8	W
09/10	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/09	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	1-5	8	6	L
30/08	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
16/08	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	3-1	2	2	W
08/08	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	2-3	–	–	L

Harstad

WWWWWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	6-1	–	–	W
11/10	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-2	4-2	–	–	W
04/10	Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
19/09	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-1	6-1	–	–	W
06/09	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
16/08	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	4-3	–	–	W
08/08	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	7-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Finnsnes IL vs Harstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Harstad win (47%). Probabilities: Finnsnes IL 31%, draw 22%, Harstad 47%.

How many goals are expected in Finnsnes IL vs Harstad?

The model expects 4.05 goals (Finnsnes IL 1.82 · Harstad 2.23), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Finnsnes IL vs Harstad?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.