Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: Tromso 2 vs Skjervøy
Team pages: Tromso 2 · Skjervøy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.07Total
Tromso 22.42
Skjervøy1.65
1X2
Tromso 2
Draw
Skjervøy
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Tromso 2
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Skjervøy
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tromso 2
2–3–1
Skjervøy
(6 last)
- Skjervøy2-0Tromso 2
- Skjervøy2-2Tromso 2
- Tromso 25-0Skjervøy
- Tromso 26-0Skjervøy
- Skjervøy4-4Tromso 2
- Skjervøy0-0Tromso 2
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tromso 2 (rating 1502 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Tromso 2: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tromso 2 | Skjervøy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 1 | 4 / 9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tromso 2 2–3–1 Skjervøy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Skjervøy | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tromso 2 |
| 24/08/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Skjervøy | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Tromso 2 |
| 14/06/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Tromso 2 | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Skjervøy |
| 13/08/23 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Tromso 2 | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Skjervøy |
| 04/06/23 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Skjervøy | 4-4 HT 3-4 | Tromso 2 |
| 22/10/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Skjervøy | 0-0 | Tromso 2 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 56 |
| 2 | Fløya | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 72 | 36 | 54 |
| 3 | Harstad | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 82 | 40 | 49 |
| 4 | Alta | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 38 | 45 |
| 5 | Finnsnes IL | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 40 |
| 6 | Kongsvinger 2 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 53 | 70 | 35 |
| 7 | Strømsgodset 2 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 33 |
| 8 | Skjetten | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 57 | 54 | 33 |
| 9 | Lillestrøm 2 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 76 | 60 | 31 |
| 10 | Fauske/Sprint | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 62 | 81 | 31 |
| 11 | Skjervøy | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 61 | 27 |
| 12 | Tromso 2 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 45 | 24 |
| 13 | Bossekop | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 39 | 82 | 19 |
| 14 | IL Ulfstind | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 93 | 15 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tromso 2 | Skjervøy |
|---|---|---|
| Fløya | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Finnsnes IL | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Fauske/Sprint | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Kongsvinger 2 | 6-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Skjetten | 2-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Harstad | 0-1 L | 0-7 L |
| Skedsmo | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Bossekop | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Alta | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Tromso 2 (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tromso 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/09 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/09 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Skjervøy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/09 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-3 | 1-6 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tromso 2 vs Skjervøy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tromso 2 win (54%). Probabilities: Tromso 2 54%, draw 21%, Skjervøy 25%.
How many goals are expected in Tromso 2 vs Skjervøy?
The model expects 4.07 goals (Tromso 2 2.42 · Skjervøy 1.65), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tromso 2 vs Skjervøy?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.