Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Skedsmo vs Kongsvinger 2

Team pages: Skedsmo · Kongsvinger 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.56Total

Skedsmo2.76

Kongsvinger 21.8

1X2

57% 19% 24%

Skedsmo Draw Kongsvinger 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Skedsmo 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWDLW

Kongsvinger 2 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Skedsmo 2–1 Kongsvinger 2 (3 last)

Kongsvinger 21-3Skedsmo
Kongsvinger 23-1Skedsmo
Skedsmo2-0Kongsvinger 2

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skedsmo (rating 1579 vs 1491).
H2H favours Skedsmo: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skedsmo	Kongsvinger 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.3	2.2 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	1.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.2	3.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.87

Under 4.51.83

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.10▼	Pinn 1.10
X	7.22 → 7.70▲	Pinn 7.70
2	9.82 → 11.59▲	Pinn 11.59

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:25 +3’	1.13	7.22	9.82
04:07 +32’	1.10▼	7.70▲	11.59▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skedsmo 2–0–1 Kongsvinger 2

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Kongsvinger 2	1-3 HT 1-2	Skedsmo
24/08/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Kongsvinger 2	3-1 HT 0-1	Skedsmo
13/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Skedsmo	2-0 HT 1-0	Kongsvinger 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skedsmo	24	17	2	5	56	32	53
2	Fløya	24	16	3	5	70	36	51
3	Harstad	24	14	4	6	79	38	46
4	Alta	24	13	6	5	59	38	45
5	Finnsnes IL	24	12	4	8	45	38	40
6	Kongsvinger 2	24	11	2	11	52	65	35
7	Skjetten	24	10	3	11	57	54	33
8	Lillestrøm 2	24	10	1	13	76	58	31
9	Fauske/Sprint	24	9	4	11	62	81	31
10	Strømsgodset 2	24	9	3	12	52	53	30
11	Skjervøy	24	8	3	13	38	61	27
12	Tromso 2	24	6	6	12	44	45	24
13	Bossekop	24	5	4	15	39	82	19
14	IL Ulfstind	24	4	3	17	38	86	15

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skedsmo	Kongsvinger 2
Bossekop	3-2 W	4-2 W
Fløya	1-3 L	1-5 L
Harstad	2-2 D	2-1 W
IL Ulfstind	7-0 W	2-1 W
Skjervøy	2-1 W	1-3 L
Alta	0-0 D	0-6 L
Tromso 2	3-1 W	0-6 L
Strømsgodset 2	1-0 W	2-3 L
Fauske/Sprint	5-3 W	6-2 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Skedsmo (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skedsmo

WWWDWWWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	3-2	–	–	W
10/10	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	1-3	1	1	L
04/10	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
26/09	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	7-0	4	1	W
19/09	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
14/09	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
06/09	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	3-1	8	5	W
16/08	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	1-0	0	1	W
08/08	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	5-3	3	1	W

Kongsvinger 2

LLWLLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	6-2	–	–	W
11/10	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	4-2	4	4	W
06/10	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	4-1	4-3	2	3	W
27/09	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	2-1	7	4	W
21/09	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-4	0-6	–	–	L
13/09	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
06/09	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
30/08	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	2-1	1	3	W
16/08	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
10/08	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	2-3	11	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skedsmo vs Kongsvinger 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skedsmo win (57%). Probabilities: Skedsmo 57%, draw 19%, Kongsvinger 2 24%.

How many goals are expected in Skedsmo vs Kongsvinger 2?

The model expects 4.56 goals (Skedsmo 2.76 · Kongsvinger 2 1.8), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Skedsmo vs Kongsvinger 2?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.