Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 11/10, 15:30
Prediction: Tromso 2 vs Lillestrøm 2
Team pages: Tromso 2 · Lillestrøm 2
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.43Total
Tromso 22.56
Lillestrøm 21.88
1X2
Tromso 2
Draw
Lillestrøm 2
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Tromso 2
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Lillestrøm 2
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tromso 2
2–4
Lillestrøm 2
(6 last)
- Lillestrøm 25-3Tromso 2
- Tromso 22-1Lillestrøm 2
- Lillestrøm 22-0Tromso 2
- Tromso 24-1Lillestrøm 2
- Lillestrøm 23-1Tromso 2
- Lillestrøm 23-0Tromso 2
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tromso 2 (rating 1503 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Lillestrøm 2: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tromso 2 | Lillestrøm 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 3.1 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 3.6 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tromso 2 2–0–4 Lillestrøm 2
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Lillestrøm 2 | 5-3 HT 4-0 | Tromso 2 |
| 17/09/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Tromso 2 | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Lillestrøm 2 |
| 14/05/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Lillestrøm 2 | 2-0 | Tromso 2 |
| 12/08/19 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Tromso 2 | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Lillestrøm 2 |
| 17/06/19 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Lillestrøm 2 | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Tromso 2 |
| 21/10/17 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Lillestrøm 2 | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Tromso 2 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 53 | 30 | 50 |
| 2 | Fløya | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 67 | 36 | 48 |
| 3 | Alta | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 58 | 32 | 45 |
| 4 | Harstad | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 69 | 35 | 40 |
| 5 | Finnsnes IL | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
| 6 | Skjetten | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 33 |
| 7 | Fauske/Sprint | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 58 | 71 | 31 |
| 8 | Kongsvinger 2 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 61 | 29 |
| 9 | Lillestrøm 2 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 71 | 56 | 28 |
| 10 | Skjervøy | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 58 | 27 |
| 11 | Strømsgodset 2 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 51 | 24 |
| 12 | Tromso 2 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 21 |
| 13 | Bossekop | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 75 | 19 |
| 14 | IL Ulfstind | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 81 | 15 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tromso 2 | Lillestrøm 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Finnsnes IL | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Fauske/Sprint | 3-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Kongsvinger 2 | 6-0 W | 4-5 L |
| Skjetten | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Harstad | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| Skedsmo | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Bossekop | 3-3 D | 11-0 W |
| Alta | 3-0 W | 3-8 L |
| Strømsgodset 2 | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Tromso 2 (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tromso 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/09 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/09 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Lillestrøm 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-4 | 3-8 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 14/09 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-0 | 11-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/08 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tromso 2 vs Lillestrøm 2?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tromso 2 win (52%). Probabilities: Tromso 2 52%, draw 20%, Lillestrøm 2 28%.
How many goals are expected in Tromso 2 vs Lillestrøm 2?
The model expects 4.43 goals (Tromso 2 2.56 · Lillestrøm 2 1.88), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tromso 2 vs Lillestrøm 2?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.