Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 18/10, 16:30

Prediction: Skjetten vs Finnsnes IL

Team pages: Skjetten · Finnsnes IL

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.88Total

Skjetten2.26

Finnsnes IL1.62

1X2

52% 21% 27%

Skjetten Draw Finnsnes IL

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Skjetten 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Finnsnes IL 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Skjetten 0–3 Finnsnes IL (3 last)

Finnsnes IL2-1Skjetten
Finnsnes IL1-0Skjetten
Skjetten1-2Finnsnes IL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skjetten 1500 · Finnsnes IL 1476

	Skjetten	Draw	Finnsnes IL
Our model	52%	22%	27%
Market	52%	21%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Finnsnes IL: 3-0-0.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skjetten	Finnsnes IL
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 2.6	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 1.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.8	2.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.33

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:01 +24’	1.73	4.33	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skjetten 0–0–3 Finnsnes IL

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Finnsnes IL	2-1 HT 0-1	Skjetten
11/08/19 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Finnsnes IL	1-0	Skjetten
26/05/19 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Skjetten	1-2 HT 1-2	Finnsnes IL

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skedsmo	23	16	2	5	53	30	50
2	Fløya	23	15	3	5	67	36	48
3	Harstad	24	14	4	6	79	38	46
4	Alta	24	13	6	5	59	38	45
5	Finnsnes IL	23	11	4	8	42	37	37
6	Kongsvinger 2	24	11	2	11	52	65	35
7	Skjetten	23	10	3	10	56	51	33
8	Fauske/Sprint	24	9	4	11	62	81	31
9	Lillestrøm 2	23	9	1	13	71	58	28
10	Strømsgodset 2	23	8	3	12	49	52	27
11	Skjervøy	23	8	3	12	37	58	27
12	Tromso 2	23	6	6	11	44	42	24
13	Bossekop	23	5	4	14	37	79	19
14	IL Ulfstind	23	4	3	16	38	81	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skjetten	Finnsnes IL
Strømsgodset 2	1-5 L	1-5 L
Bossekop	3-0 W	2-3 L
Skjervøy	6-1 W	2-0 W
Tromso 2	3-2 W	1-1 D
Fløya	2-2 D	1-3 L
IL Ulfstind	2-4 L	2-2 D
Lillestrøm 2	2-1 W	0-1 L
Fauske/Sprint	5-4 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Skjetten (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skjetten

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-3	1-5	15	3	L
06/10	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-4	3-4	2	3	L
27/09	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
22/09	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-1	6-1	3	7	W
19/09	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
14/09	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-2	3-2	4	4	W
05/09	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	2-4	–	–	L
10/08	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	2-1	10	4	W
01/08	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-2	5-4	–	–	W

Finnsnes IL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/09	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	1-5	8	6	L
30/08	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
16/08	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	3-1	2	2	W
08/08	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
02/08	Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-0	7	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skjetten vs Finnsnes IL?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skjetten win (52%). Probabilities: Skjetten 52%, draw 21%, Finnsnes IL 27%.

How many goals are expected in Skjetten vs Finnsnes IL?

The model expects 3.88 goals (Skjetten 2.26 · Finnsnes IL 1.62), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Skjetten vs Finnsnes IL?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.