Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 18/10, 13:30

Prediction: IL Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm 2

Team pages: IL Ulfstind · Lillestrøm 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.46Total

IL Ulfstind2.16

Lillestrøm 22.31

1X2

37% 21% 42%

IL Ulfstind Draw Lillestrøm 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

IL Ulfstind 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Lillestrøm 2 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLLLDL

Head-to-head

IL Ulfstind 0–1 Lillestrøm 2 (1 last)

Lillestrøm 210-1IL Ulfstind

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lillestrøm 2 (rating 1380 vs 1458).
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IL Ulfstind	Lillestrøm 2
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 4.1	2.9 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.7	1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.5	3.6 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.83

Under 4.251.87

Diff.: 1.4 · xG: 5.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.67 → 4.67	Pinn 4.67
X	4.81 → 4.81	Pinn 4.81
2	1.42 → 1.42	Pinn 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:48 +19’	4.67	4.81	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IL Ulfstind 0–0–1 Lillestrøm 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Lillestrøm 2	10-1 HT 4-0	IL Ulfstind

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skedsmo	23	16	2	5	53	30	50
2	Fløya	23	15	3	5	67	36	48
3	Harstad	24	14	4	6	79	38	46
4	Alta	24	13	6	5	59	38	45
5	Finnsnes IL	23	11	4	8	42	37	37
6	Kongsvinger 2	24	11	2	11	52	65	35
7	Skjetten	23	10	3	10	56	51	33
8	Fauske/Sprint	24	9	4	11	62	81	31
9	Lillestrøm 2	23	9	1	13	71	58	28
10	Strømsgodset 2	23	8	3	12	49	52	27
11	Skjervøy	23	8	3	12	37	58	27
12	Tromso 2	23	6	6	11	44	42	24
13	Bossekop	23	5	4	14	37	79	19
14	IL Ulfstind	23	4	3	16	38	81	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IL Ulfstind	Lillestrøm 2
Finnsnes IL	2-2 D	1-0 W
Alta	0-2 L	3-8 L
Skedsmo	0-7 L	1-2 L
Bossekop	3-4 L	11-0 W
Harstad	1-6 L	3-4 L
Fauske/Sprint	1-6 L	2-4 L
Kongsvinger 2	1-2 L	4-5 L
Skjetten	4-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Lillestrøm 2 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IL Ulfstind

LLWLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
26/09	Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	0-7	2	1	L
19/09	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
12/09	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-3	1-6	–	–	L
05/09	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	1-6	–	–	L
30/08	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
15/08	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	4-2	–	–	W
06/08	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-3	0-7	–	–	L
30/07	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	1-3	–	–	L

Lillestrøm 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
04/10	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-2	3-3	3	5	D
27/09	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-4	3-8	–	–	L
20/09	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	2-4	10	3	L
14/09	Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
06/09	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-0	11-0	12	4	W
30/08	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
10/08	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
03/08	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-3	4-5	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IL Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lillestrøm 2 win (42%). Probabilities: IL Ulfstind 37%, draw 21%, Lillestrøm 2 42%.

How many goals are expected in IL Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm 2?

The model expects 4.46 goals (IL Ulfstind 2.16 · Lillestrøm 2 2.31), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IL Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm 2?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.