Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: Fauske/Sprint vs Harstad

Team pages: Fauske/Sprint · Harstad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.44Total

Fauske/Sprint1.98

Harstad2.46

1X2

31% 20% 49%

Fauske/Sprint Draw Harstad

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

1-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Fauske/Sprint 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Harstad 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Fauske/Sprint 0–1 Harstad (1 last)

Harstad10-1Fauske/Sprint

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harstad (rating 1439 vs 1566).
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fauske/Sprint	Harstad
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 4	4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 2	2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.3	– / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.3	3 / 1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.88

Under 4.251.83

Diff.: 1.7 · xG: 5.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.54 → 4.53▼	Pinn 4.53
X	4.50 → 4.53▲	Pinn 4.53
2	1.46 → 1.46▼	Pinn 1.46

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:13 +34’	4.54	4.50	1.46
05:56 +12’	4.53▼	4.53▲	1.46▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fauske/Sprint 0–0–1 Harstad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Harstad	10-1 HT 5-0	Fauske/Sprint

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skedsmo	23	16	2	5	53	30	50
2	Fløya	23	15	3	5	67	36	48
3	Alta	23	13	6	4	58	32	45
4	Harstad	22	12	4	6	69	35	40
5	Finnsnes IL	23	11	4	8	42	37	37
6	Skjetten	22	10	3	9	55	46	33
7	Fauske/Sprint	22	9	4	9	58	71	31
8	Kongsvinger 2	22	9	2	11	42	61	29
9	Lillestrøm 2	22	9	1	12	71	56	28
10	Skjervøy	23	8	3	12	37	58	27
11	Strømsgodset 2	22	7	3	12	44	51	24
12	Tromso 2	22	5	6	11	42	42	21
13	Bossekop	22	5	4	13	35	75	19
14	IL Ulfstind	23	4	3	16	38	81	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fauske/Sprint	Harstad
Skjervøy	0-3 L	7-0 W
Tromso 2	0-3 L	1-0 W
Lillestrøm 2	4-2 W	4-3 W
IL Ulfstind	6-1 W	6-1 W
Skedsmo	3-5 L	2-2 D
Skjetten	4-5 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Harstad (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fauske/Sprint

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
27/09	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
20/09	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	4-2	2	3	W
14/09	Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-2	5-3	3	3	W
05/09	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	6-1	–	–	W
30/08	Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-3	1-5	–	–	L
16/08	Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
08/08	Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-2	3-5	2	1	L
01/08	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-2	4-5	–	–	L
25/07	Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-5	1-10	–	–	L

Harstad

WWWWWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
19/09	Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-1	6-1	–	–	W
06/09	Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
16/08	Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5	1-1	4-3	–	–	W
08/08	Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5	2-0	7-0	–	–	W
02/08	Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5	3-2	3-2	–	–	W
25/07	Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5	5-0	10-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fauske/Sprint vs Harstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Harstad win (49%). Probabilities: Fauske/Sprint 31%, draw 20%, Harstad 49%.

How many goals are expected in Fauske/Sprint vs Harstad?

The model expects 4.44 goals (Fauske/Sprint 1.98 · Harstad 2.46), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fauske/Sprint vs Harstad?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.