Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 11/10, 11:30
Prediction: Strømsgodset 2 vs Skjetten
Team pages: Strømsgodset 2 · Skjetten
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.21Total
Strømsgodset 22.29
Skjetten1.92
1X2
Strømsgodset 2
Draw
Skjetten
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Strømsgodset 2
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Skjetten
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Strømsgodset 2
3–3
Skjetten
(6 last)
- Skjetten1-3Strømsgodset 2
- Strømsgodset 20-3Skjetten
- Skjetten1-0Strømsgodset 2
- Strømsgodset 28-1Skjetten
- Skjetten2-1Strømsgodset 2
- Skjetten2-8Strømsgodset 2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Strømsgodset 2 1454 · Skjetten 1525
| Strømsgodset 2 | Draw | Skjetten | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 21% | 32% |
| Market | 47% | 20% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skjetten (rating 1454 vs 1525).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Strømsgodset 2 | Skjetten | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.4 | 3.3 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 5.1 | 2.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Strømsgodset 2 3–0–3 Skjetten
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Skjetten | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Strømsgodset 2 |
| 14/07/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Strømsgodset 2 | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Skjetten |
| 05/04/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Skjetten | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Strømsgodset 2 |
| 15/08/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Strømsgodset 2 | 8-1 HT 3-1 | Skjetten |
| 18/04/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Skjetten | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Strømsgodset 2 |
| 27/10/18 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Skjetten | 2-8 | Strømsgodset 2 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 53 | 30 | 50 |
| 2 | Fløya | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 67 | 36 | 48 |
| 3 | Alta | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 58 | 32 | 45 |
| 4 | Harstad | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 69 | 35 | 40 |
| 5 | Finnsnes IL | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
| 6 | Skjetten | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 33 |
| 7 | Fauske/Sprint | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 58 | 71 | 31 |
| 8 | Kongsvinger 2 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 61 | 29 |
| 9 | Lillestrøm 2 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 71 | 56 | 28 |
| 10 | Skjervøy | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 58 | 27 |
| 11 | Strømsgodset 2 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 51 | 24 |
| 12 | Tromso 2 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 21 |
| 13 | Bossekop | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 75 | 19 |
| 14 | IL Ulfstind | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 81 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Strømsgodset 2 | Skjetten |
|---|---|---|
| Lillestrøm 2 | 3-3 D | 2-1 W |
| Fløya | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Fauske/Sprint | 3-5 L | 5-4 W |
| Bossekop | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Kongsvinger 2 | 3-2 W | 3-4 L |
| Tromso 2 | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Skjetten (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Strømsgodset 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 21/09 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/09 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 10/08 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Skjetten
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/09 | Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-1 | 6-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/09 | Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/08 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-2 | 5-4 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Strømsgodset 2 vs Skjetten?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Strømsgodset 2 win (47%). Probabilities: Strømsgodset 2 47%, draw 20%, Skjetten 33%.
How many goals are expected in Strømsgodset 2 vs Skjetten?
The model expects 4.21 goals (Strømsgodset 2 2.29 · Skjetten 1.92), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Strømsgodset 2 vs Skjetten?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.