Football · USA NWSL Women · 01/08, 22:00

Prediction: Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)

Team pages: Racing Louisville FC (W) · Chicago Stars (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.67

Chicago Stars (W)1.1

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Racing Louisville FC (W) Draw Chicago Stars (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Louisville FC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Chicago Stars (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Racing Louisville FC (W) 4–1–1 Chicago Stars (W) (6 last)

Racing Louisville FC (W)1-1Chicago Stars (W)
Chicago Stars (W)0-1Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)3-1Chicago Stars (W)
Chicago Stars (W)0-1Racing Louisville FC (W)
Chicago Stars (W)1-0Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)2-0Chicago Stars (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Racing Louisville FC (W): 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Louisville FC (W)	Chicago Stars (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.5	0.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/0/60%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6.2	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	1.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.84

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.58▲	Pinn 1.58
X	3.97 → 4.08▲	Pinn 4.08
2	4.46 → 4.61▲	Pinn 4.61

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:25	1.57	3.97	4.46
03:25	1.58▲	4.08▲	4.61▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Louisville FC (W) 4–1–1 Chicago Stars (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/10/25 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Chicago Stars (W)
31/03/25 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)
25/08/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Chicago Stars (W)
26/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)
01/10/23 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
22/07/23 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Chicago Stars (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Washington Spirit (W)	16	10	3	3	25	12	33
2	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	16	9	4	3	21	12	31
3	Utah Royals (W)	16	9	3	4	26	17	30
4	San Diego Wave (W)	17	9	2	6	23	19	29
5	Portland Thorns (W)	17	8	4	5	27	20	28
6	Kansas City Current (W)	16	8	1	7	23	23	25
7	Orlando Pride (W)	17	7	2	8	22	21	23
8	Angel City FC (W)	15	7	1	7	23	16	22
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	15	6	3	6	21	23	21
10	Reign FC (W)	15	6	2	7	17	19	20
11	Denver Summit FC (W)	15	5	4	6	21	20	19
12	Houston Dash (W)	16	5	4	7	19	24	19
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	17	5	4	8	18	23	19
14	Bay FC (W)	15	5	3	7	16	20	18
15	Chicago Stars (W)	16	4	0	12	8	31	12
16	Racing Louisville FC (W)	15	3	2	10	18	28	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Louisville FC (W)	Chicago Stars (W)
Kansas City Current (W)	1-5 L	0-3 L
Angel City FC (W)	2-1 W	0-2 L
Bay FC (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Portland Thorns (W)	0-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Chicago Stars (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Racing Louisville FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	1-5	3	3	L
27/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
19/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
06/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-4	7	4	L
04/07	Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) USA USL W-League Women	–	0-5	–	–	L
28/06	Toledo Villa Women USA USL W-League Women	–	3-0	–	–	W
25/06	Dayton Dutch Lions FC Women USA USL W-League Women	–	4-3	–	–	W
18/06	Dayton Dutch Lions FC Women USA USL W-League Women	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/06	Indy Eleven Women USA USL W-League Women	–	0-3	–	–	L

Chicago Stars (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
19/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
11/07	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
05/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-2	5	2	W
31/05	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
24/05	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
17/05	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-4	4	2	L
10/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
03/05	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	11	0	L
30/04	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	0	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Louisville FC (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Racing Louisville FC (W) 49%, draw 27%, Chicago Stars (W) 24%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.67 · Chicago Stars (W) 1.1), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.