Football · USA NWSL Women · 10/08, 01:00

Prediction: Chicago Stars (W) vs Bay FC (W)

Team pages: Chicago Stars (W) · Bay FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Chicago Stars (W)1.34

Bay FC (W)1.22

1X2

38% 29% 33%

Chicago Stars (W) Draw Bay FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Chicago Stars (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Bay FC (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chicago Stars (W) 3–1–1 Bay FC (W) (5 last)

Bay FC (W)0-1Chicago Stars (W)
Chicago Stars (W)1-1Bay FC (W)
Bay FC (W)1-2Chicago Stars (W)
Chicago Stars (W)1-2Bay FC (W)
Bay FC (W)1-2Chicago Stars (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chicago Stars (W): 3-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chicago Stars (W)	Bay FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 2	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	1.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.2	2.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.79

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:40

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.35 → 4.35	Pinn 4.35
X	3.96 → 3.96	Pinn 3.96
2	1.64 → 1.64	Pinn 1.64

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:40	4.35	3.96	1.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chicago Stars (W) 3–1–1 Bay FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Chicago Stars (W)
10/08/25 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Bay FC (W)
14/04/25 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Chicago Stars (W)
09/06/24 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Bay FC (W)
06/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Chicago Stars (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	18	11	4	3	23	12	37
2	Washington Spirit (W)	18	11	3	4	26	13	36
3	Utah Royals (W)	18	10	3	5	31	19	33
4	San Diego Wave (W)	18	10	2	6	24	19	32
5	Kansas City Current (W)	18	9	2	7	29	25	29
6	Portland Thorns (W)	18	8	4	6	28	25	28
7	North Carolina Courage (W)	16	7	3	6	26	23	24
8	Angel City FC (W)	16	7	2	7	24	17	23
9	Reign FC (W)	16	7	2	7	20	21	23
10	Orlando Pride (W)	18	7	2	9	22	26	23
11	Denver Summit FC (W)	15	5	4	6	21	20	19
12	Boston Legacy FC (W)	17	5	4	8	18	23	19
13	Houston Dash (W)	17	5	4	8	19	25	19
14	Bay FC (W)	17	5	3	9	18	24	18
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	17	4	2	11	21	34	14
16	Chicago Stars (W)	17	4	0	13	9	33	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chicago Stars (W)	Bay FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-2 L	2-0 W
Orlando Pride (W)	0-1 L	1-3 L
Boston Legacy FC (W)	0-2 L	2-2 D
North Carolina Courage (W)	0-4 L	3-0 W
Portland Thorns (W)	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bay FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chicago Stars (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	0	1	L
25/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
19/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
11/07	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
05/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-2	5	2	W
31/05	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
24/05	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
17/05	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-4	4	2	L
10/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
03/05	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	11	0	L

Bay FC (W)

DLLLDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-3	3	5	L
30/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
25/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
18/07	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-0	2	0	W
11/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	0	2	W
05/07	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-2	6	4	D
30/05	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-3	4	0	L
24/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
21/05	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
16/05	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	9	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chicago Stars (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chicago Stars (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Chicago Stars (W) 38%, draw 29%, Bay FC (W) 33%.

How many goals are expected in Chicago Stars (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Chicago Stars (W) 1.34 · Bay FC (W) 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chicago Stars (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.