Football · USA NWSL Women · 09/08, 22:00

Prediction: Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)

Team pages: Boston Legacy FC (W) · Portland Thorns (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Boston Legacy FC (W)1.79

Portland Thorns (W)1.14

1X2

52% 25% 23%

Boston Legacy FC (W) Draw Portland Thorns (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Boston Legacy FC (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Portland Thorns (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boston Legacy FC (W) (rating 1517 vs 1474).
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boston Legacy FC (W)	Portland Thorns (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.3	1.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.81

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.47 → 2.47	Pinn 2.47
X	3.52 → 3.52	Pinn 3.52
2	2.49 → 2.49	Pinn 2.49

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:33	2.47	3.52	2.49

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	18	11	4	3	23	12	37
2	Washington Spirit (W)	18	11	3	4	26	13	36
3	Utah Royals (W)	18	10	3	5	31	19	33
4	San Diego Wave (W)	18	10	2	6	24	19	32
5	Kansas City Current (W)	18	9	2	7	29	25	29
6	Portland Thorns (W)	18	8	4	6	28	25	28
7	North Carolina Courage (W)	16	7	3	6	26	23	24
8	Angel City FC (W)	16	7	2	7	24	17	23
9	Reign FC (W)	16	7	2	7	20	21	23
10	Orlando Pride (W)	18	7	2	9	22	26	23
11	Denver Summit FC (W)	15	5	4	6	21	20	19
12	Boston Legacy FC (W)	17	5	4	8	18	23	19
13	Houston Dash (W)	17	5	4	8	19	25	19
14	Bay FC (W)	17	5	3	9	18	24	18
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	17	4	2	11	21	34	14
16	Chicago Stars (W)	17	4	0	13	9	33	12

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boston Legacy FC (W)	Portland Thorns (W)
Kansas City Current (W)	1-0 W	1-3 L
Bay FC (W)	2-2 D	2-0 W
Reign FC (W)	1-2 L	0-2 L
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Boston Legacy FC (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Boston Legacy FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
20/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-2	1	3	L
16/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
11/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
05/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-2	6	4	D
30/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
23/05	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
16/05	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
13/05	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-1	11	4	W
10/05	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-1	3	4	D

Portland Thorns (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L
25/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
18/07	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
12/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	8	2	L
06/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	4-0	3	4	W
29/06	San Diego Wave (W) Women’s Friendly	2-1	3-4	–	–	L
30/05	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
24/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-3	8	0	L
21/05	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
18/05	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	10	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boston Legacy FC (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Boston Legacy FC (W) 52%, draw 25%, Portland Thorns (W) 23%.

How many goals are expected in Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Boston Legacy FC (W) 1.79 · Portland Thorns (W) 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.