Football · USA NWSL Women · 02/08, 02:45
Prediction: Bay FC (W) vs Reign FC (W)
Team pages: Bay FC (W) · Reign FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Bay FC (W)1.43
Reign FC (W)0.97
1X2
Bay FC (W)
Draw
Reign FC (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bay FC (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Reign FC (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bay FC (W)
2–2–0
Reign FC (W)
(4 last)
- Reign FC (W)1-1Bay FC (W)
- Bay FC (W)1-1Reign FC (W)
- Reign FC (W)0-1Bay FC (W)
- Bay FC (W)3-2Reign FC (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bay FC (W): 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bay FC (W) | Reign FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.8 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bay FC (W) 2–2–0 Reign FC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/25 USA NWSL Women | Reign FC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bay FC (W) |
| 27/04/25 USA NWSL Women | Bay FC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Reign FC (W) |
| 30/09/24 USA NWSL Women | Reign FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bay FC (W) |
| 15/04/24 USA NWSL Women | Bay FC (W) | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Reign FC (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit (W) | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Utah Royals (W) | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave (W) | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns (W) | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current (W) | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 23 | 25 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride (W) | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 23 |
| 8 | Angel City FC (W) | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 16 | 22 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 21 |
| 10 | Reign FC (W) | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| 12 | Houston Dash (W) | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 19 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 19 |
| 14 | Bay FC (W) | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 18 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars (W) | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 31 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bay FC (W) | Reign FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Dash (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| North Carolina Courage (W) | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Portland Thorns (W) | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Utah Royals (W) | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| San Diego Wave (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Reign FC (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bay FC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 21/05 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Reign FC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bay FC (W) vs Reign FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bay FC (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Bay FC (W) 46%, draw 29%, Reign FC (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in Bay FC (W) vs Reign FC (W)?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Bay FC (W) 1.43 · Reign FC (W) 0.97), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bay FC (W) vs Reign FC (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.